January 12th, 2012

2011 Review and Forecasts for 2012……

 

The year 2011 rolled out of Houston leaving residential real estate in a positive position and set the stage for an even better year in 2012.

Here’s a snapshot view of statistics on the Houston housing market for 2011:

Houston Real Estate Information Services [MLS] 2011 vs. 2010
 Measurement  Amount % change from 2010
# of sales 53,606 4%
Dollar volume $11,456,826,125 5%
Average sales price $213,723 1%
Median sales price $155,000 1%
Contracts written [pending] 35,031 8%
# of active listings [current] 30,786 -4%

# of active listings are down by 4% and that’s a good thing!  If sales in 2012 are similar or better than 2011, one could at least expect dollar volume, average sales price, and median sales price to rise this year. 

Economic Forecast for Houston in 2012 is Expansion!

Sales could be much better in Houston if the forecast from the Greater Houston Partnership comes to fruition. The Partnership’s forecast calls for the10-county Houston metro area to add 84,600 jobs in ’12.  Read more in  “From Recovery to Expansion”  Houston homebuilders are moving forward with a positive strategy in 2012 as Mike Inselmann, President of Metro Study, estimates that approximately 20,000 new homes will be built in the Houston area this year. 

And why not?  Houston is a great place to buy a home!  Interest rates are still at record lows, the job forecast for Houston is positive and there is a good selection of well-priced homes available across the metro area.

The top ten selling price classes by units in Houston for 2011 are:

Top Ten Selling Price ClassesHouston Single-Family Real Estate2011
Price Class # 2011 Sales Active Listings Months of Inventory
1. $200,000-$249,999 5,266 2,612 6
2  $300,000-$399,999 4,300 2,288 6.4
3. $250,000-$299,999  3,995 2,007 6
4. $120,000-$129,999 2,581 1,283 6
5. $130,000-$139,999 2,495 1,178 5.7
6. $110,000-$119,999 2,454 1,185 5.8
7. $80,000-$89,999 2,360 1,070 5.4
8. $140,000-$149,999 2,290 1,099 5.8
9. $90,000-$99,999 2,248 1,153 6.2
10$150,000-$159,999 2,189 979 5.4

In reviewing the table above over the course of this year, the good news is that each of these price classes has a lower # of months of inventory than has been seen over the previous months. 2011 was a year when inventory in Houston began trending in the right direction – down

In respect to number of sales for 2011, price classes between $90,000 – $159,999 experienced a decline in sales from 2010, however most other price classes experienced increases.

Houston real estate is out of recovery-mode and on a slow but steady upward climb.  Historically, these are the best times to buy a home.

Data compiled by the Houston Association of Realtors® and the Real Estate Center of Texas A & M University and composed by Toni Nelson, Director of Strategic Initiatives for Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors®.

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December 9th, 2011

Houston Real Estate Trends Up in November

 

Houston single-family real estate continued its upward trend in November with an 11% increase in home sales, or 3,973 sales.  Dollar volume sales were up 6% at $822,287,837.  The median price of November home sales were $154,950, a 3% increase over last year.  Two of the most encouraging statistics for November were pending sales and listing inventory.  Pending sales were up a whopping 19%, which means 19% more contracts were written in November with a closing date some time in the future.  It now appears that although the expectation was for Houston to experience the same year as last, it will probably close the year with 5% more sales and most likely a higher median sales price than last year.  Active listings fell 15% to 27,749 homes on the market.  Fewer homes on the market and higher buyer demand is a recipe for rising home values, if the trend continues as it has in the last few months.

Here is a snapshot of November YTD 2011:

Houston Real Estate Information Services [MLS]November YTD 2011
 Measurement  Amount % change from 2010
# of sales 49,061 4%
Dollar volume $10,457,370,447 5%
Average sales price $213,150 1%
Median sales price $154,500 1%
Contracts written 32,619 8%
# of active listings 31,248 -3%

As you can see above, the overall year is positive in all categories and that alone makes it a much better year than 2010.

What price class of homes are the top selling homes in Houston?

Top Ten Selling Price ClassesHouston Single-Family Real Estate

The Year 2011 thru 11/30/2011

Price Class Sales Year to Date Active Listings Months of Inventory
1. $200,000-$249,999 4,814 2,848 6.5
2  $300,000-$399,999 3,903 2,460 7.0
3. $250,000-$299,999 3,621 2,156 6.6
4. $120,000-$129,999 2,371 1,399 6.5
5. $130,000-$139,999 2,268 1,267 6.2
6. $110,000-$119,999 2,261 1,241 6.1
7. $80,000-$89,999 2,168 1,137 5.8
8. $140,000-$149,999 2,113 1,244 6.6
9. $90,000-$99,999 2,043 1,253 6.8
10 $150,000-$159,999 2,013 1,098 5.9

The refreshing part of the above table is one that is not evident unless you peruse all prior blogs on this topic.  It’s the fact that all price classes have experienced fewer months of inventory this month than in previous months.  Many price classes above are on the low end of a buyers market, many are balanced and some price classes reached the sellers market.  Homes with a Months of Inventory over 6 months represents a buyers market, 6 months is a balanced market and below 6 months is a sellers market.  The months of inventory trend has moved closer to a balanced market over the last few months than anything seen within the last 2 years.

With all the economic uncertainty, we are truly blessed to live in Houston which has one of the strongest markets in the nation.  Houston never participated in the bubble and although we were not immune to its national impact, Houston appears to be one of the first markets to be pulling out.

For more on the Houston market, go to http://media.garygreene.com/index.php?s=38&item=328

Information compiled by the Houston Association of Realtors® Multiple Listing Service and the Real Estate Center for Texas A&M.  Blog written by Toni Nelson, Director of Strategic Initiatives for Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors®.

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November 8th, 2011

Houston real estate. It’s all good and getting better!

 

It has been so refreshing for the last few months to review the overall Houston market activity and see all the metrics in a good position and getting better.  October single-family home sales were up 9% which helped strengthen an upward trend.  

Year-to-date, home sales are up 3% [as was the case in September] with 45,096 MLS recorded home sales.  Homes are showing a resiliency in value – the median price of a home in Houston year-to-date is $154,890 and that’s 1% above the median price last year.   Probably the most encouraging market stat at the conclusion of October 2011 is pending sales.  Pending sales are contracts written that are scheduled to close in the near future.  For the year, Houston is up 7% with 30,046 pending sales recorded.  As stated earlier, for the month, Houston is up 9% with 4,080 pending sales recorded.  Both statistics indicate that Houston will end the year with a better sales record than found in 2010  One other statistic that indicates Houston is trending in a positive direction is active listings.  At the close of October, there were 29,016 single-family homes on the market – a 14% decline since last October.  Property types, like townhouses/condos, high rises, multi-family, etc. are experiencing similar double digit inventory declines.  This is the single best trend in stabilization and can ultimately lead to rising home values. 

Here’s a snapshot view of statistics on the Houston housing market through October 2011:

Houston Real Estate Information Services [MLS]October  YTD 2011 vs. October YTD 2010
 Measurement  Amount % change from 2010
# of sales 45,096 3%
Dollar volume $9,648,441,038 5%
Average sales price $213,953 2%
Median sales price $154,890 1%
Contracts written [pending] 30,046 7%
# of active listings [current] 29,016 -14%

The top ten selling price classes by units in Houston year-to-date:

Top Ten Selling Price ClassesHouston Single-Family Real EstateOctober YTD 2011
Price Class # Sales Year to Date Active Listings Months of Inventory
1. $200,000-$249,999 4,405 2,970 6.8
2  $300,000-$399,999 3,593 2,584 7.4
3. $250,000-$299,999  3,319 2,303 7.1
4. $120,000-$129,999 2,156 1,431 6.6
5. $130,000-$139,999 2,111 1,355 6.6
6. $110,000-$119,999 2,086 1,268 6.2
7. $80,000-$89,999 1,983 1,178 6.1
8. $140,000-$149,999 1,947 1,298 7.0
9. $90,000-$99,999 1,880 1,354  7.1
10$150,000-$159,999 1,853 1,161 6.3

In reviewing the table above over the course of this year, the good news is that each of these price classes has a lower # of months of inventory than has been seen over the previous months, even in September.  Contrary to the national news, inventory in Houston is certainly trending in the right direction – down.

Price Class Demand Year-to-Date:

The table above depicts the top ten selling price classes year-to-date.  Paradoxically, most price classes below $200,000 have all seen sales declines over the last year, whereas price classes below $80,000 and above $500,000 have experienced increases, [many are experiencing double digit increases] in sales over last year.  The largest increase in sales by price class has been in the $1,000,000 + price range.  Home sales of $1,000,000+ have increased by 18% over this time last year.  When the two extreme price classes see double-digit increases, the overall average sales price does not accurately reflect the current state of the market.  Our average sales price currently shows a 2% increase for the year.  Median sales price, which is up year-to-date by 1% is probably more realistic in terms of reflecting the trend in home values.  The current median sales price indicates that Houston has remained resilient during very turbulent economic times.  A 1% increase in median sales prices is a statistic every market in the nation would be happy to have. 

We are fortunate to live in Houston where it’s all good and getting better.

Data compiled by the Houston Association of Realtors® and the Real Estate Center of Texas A & M University and composed by Toni Nelson, Director of Strategic Initiatives for Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors®.

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October 10th, 2011

Houston real estate market is trending up.

 

The real estate market in Houston is brimming with good news and a positive outlook according to statistics from the Houston Association of Realtors® Real Estate Information Services.  For starters, September single-family home sales increased 17% over last year with 4,635 MLS recorded home sales.  Year-to-date, home sales are up 3% with 41,050 MLS recorded home sales.  Homes are showing a resiliency in value – the median price of a home in Houston year-to-date is $155,000 and that’s 1% above the median price last year.   Probably the most encouraging market stat at the conclusion of September 2011 is pending sales.  Pending sales are contracts written that are scheduled to close in the near future.  For the year, Houston is up 7% with 27,429 pending sales recorded.  For the month, Houston is up 5% with 2,628 pending sales recorded.  Both statistics indicate that Houston will end the year with a better sales record than found in 2010 and that’s very encouraging.  The final statistic that indicates Houston is trending in a positive direction is active listings.  At the close of September, there were 30,013 single-family homes on the market – a 13% decline since last September.  What’s more is that other property types, like townhouses/condos, high rises, multi-family, etc. are experiencing similar double digit inventory declines.  This is the single best trend in stabilization and ultimately rising home values. 

This good news correlates with other good news that rolled into Houston in September:

  1. Texas boasts the best business climate in the country, according to a new survey of U.S. corporate executives conducted by Development Counsellors International (DCI). It was the fifth consecutive time the Lone Star State has ranked first in the survey. DCI said Texas was the ”clear-cut favorite” among the 322 survey respondents, with 49.4 percent identifying the state as having the most favorable business climate. The corporate decision-makers who named Texas as having the most favorable business climate most frequently cited “tax climate” (44 percent), “pro-business climate” (31 percent) and “economic development support/incentives” (15 percent) as reasons for their positive perceptions.
  2. One of the “healthiest employment markets in the country” will keep Houston office properties among the nation’s strongest performers this year, reports Marcus & Millichap in its third-quarter 2011 office market update. Among the firm’s projections for Houston for the remainder of 2011:
  • The city will add 98,000 jobs this year, an increase of 3.9 percent, the nation’s largest. Last year, the metro gained 45,900 positions, climbing 1.8 percent. Office users will create 17,900 spots, rising 3.4 percent.

Finally, as the Panama Canal prepares to open more gates to expand commerce, the Houston Ship Channel is preparing to gain a tremendous thrust in economic development as a result of it.

There is plenty of good news about Houston that this one blog could never cover.

Here’s a snapshot view of statistics on the Houston housing market through September 2011:

Houston Real Estate Information Services [MLS]September  YTD 2011 vs. September YTD 2010
 Measurement  Amount % change from 2010
# of sales 41,050 3%
Dollar volume $8,812,524,855 5%
Average sales price $214,678 2%
Median sales price $155,000 1%
Contracts written [pending] 27,429 7%
# of active listings 30,013 -13%

The top ten price classes that sold in Houston year-to-date:

Top Ten Selling Price ClassesHouston Single-Family Real EstateSeptember YTD 2011
Price Class Sales Year to Date Active Listings Months of Inventory
1. $200,000-$249,999 4,025 3,048 7.0
2  $300,000-$399,999 3,273 2,671 7.7
3. $250,000-$299,999  3,015 2,434 7.5
4. $120,000-$129,999 1,961 1,480 6.9
5. $130,000-$139,999 1,910 1,455 7.1
6. $110,000-$119,999 1,898 1,378 6.8
7. $80,000-$89,999 1,771 1,244 6.5
8. $140,000-$149,999 1,746 1,317 7.2
9. $90,000-$99,999 1,703 1,346 7.3
10$150,000-$159,999 1,692 1,239 6.8

In reviewing the table above over the course of this year, the good news is that each of these price classes have a lower # of months of inventory than has been seen over the prior months.  Inventory in Houston is certainly trending in the right direction.

The Paradox of Price Class Demand Year-to-Date:

The table above depicts the top ten selling price classes year-to-date.  Paradoxically, these price classes [excepting $300,000-$399,999] have all seen declines over last year, whereas price classes below $80,000 and above $500,000 have experienced double digit increases in sales over last year.  When the two extreme price classes see double-digit increases, the overall average sales is not a true reflection of the current state of the market.  There is more validity in the median, which is up year-to-date by 1%.  In these troubling economic times we live in, a 1% increase in median home sale prices is a statistic every market in the nation would be happy to have.  We are fortunate to live in Houston where it’s all good!

Data compiled by the Houston Association of Realtors® and the Real Estate Center of Texas A & M University and composed by Toni Nelson, Director of Strategic Initiatives for Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors®.

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September 12th, 2011

Houston Real Estate Market Exceeds Last Year

 

Single-family home sales surpassed year-to-date 2010 statistics at the close of August.  Sales are up by 1% over August YTD 2010 and dollar volume is up 4%.  During this time of economic uncertainty, it is difficult to predict if this trend will continue, however, pending sales [homes scheduled to close in the near future] are up 7%.  Current metrics that may have a negative future impact are days-on-the-market {DOM} and active listings.  DOM is up 17% from last year.  This means on average, it takes 89 days to sell a house today and last year, it took approximately 15 fewer days.  Active listings are up 1% and while this is slight, if supply continues to grow, it may have a declining impact on  average sales price and median price. 

Here is a snapshot view of activity through August 2011:

Houston Real Estate Information Services [MLS]August YTD 2011
 Measurement  Amount % change from 2010
# of sales 36,463 1%
Dollar volume $7,842,831,484 4%
Average sales price $215,090 2%
Median sales price $154,900 1%
Contracts written 24,801 7%
# of active listings 32,119 1%

What price ranges are selling in Houston?  Below you will find a table of the hottest selling price ranges.  It is also interesting to note that all homes priced $600,000 and up have experienced double-digit increases in sales since last year, except for homes priced $900,000-$999,999, a 9% increase.  Although all sales over $600,000 represent only 4.47% of all sales in Houston year-to-date, these sales have had a major impact on increasing  the average sales price of Houston overall.  Median sales price is a better barometer of the true state of the market.

Top Ten Selling Price ClassesHouston Single-Family Real EstateThe Year 2011
Price Class Sales Year to Date Active Listings Months of Inventory
1. $200,000-$249,999 3,529 3,204 7.5
2  $300,000-$399,999 2,907 2,809 8.2
3. $250,000-$299,999 2,681 2,486 7.9
4. $120,000-$129,999 1,714 1,492 7.1
5. $110,000-$119,999 1,696 1,451 7.3
6. $130,000-$139,999 1,664 1,512 7.5
7. $80,000-$89,999 1,589 976 5.7
8. $140,000-$149,999 1,536 1,415 7.8
9. $150,000-$159,999 1,521 1,260 6.8
10 $90,000-$99,999 1,512 1,399 7.7

The Good News in Real Estate for Houston:

  • According to the U.S. Census Bureau, Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown had $4.17 billion in new residential projects in 2010, more than any other U.S. city.  Houston is among the nation’s strongest when it comes to residential construction activity.
  • Texas jobs created from July 2010 to July 2011 accounted for 20.5 percent of total new nonfarm jobs in the United States, according to the Real Estate Center’s latest Monthly Review of the Texas Economy.
  • During that period, Texas gained 278,100 nonfarm jobs, an annual growth rate of 2.7 percent compared with 1 percent for the nation.
  • The state’s private sector added 292,700 jobs, an annual growth rate of 3.4 percent compared with 1.7 percent for the nation.

So, despite the national news – if you live in Houston, you are in the best place to own a home.

Statistics [unless otherwise noted] compiled by the Houston Association of Realtors Information Systems and the Real Estate Center at Texas A & M and written by Toni Nelson, Director of Strategic Initiatives for Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors.

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August 10th, 2011

Houston sees double-digit increases in July home sales.

 

Single-family home sales rose 17% in July in comparison to July 2010.  This is truly positive news in a year where a cloud of uncertainty hovers incessantly over the economy.   While this is good news, some of the  increase can be attributed to being compared  to last July when an anomaly occurred in the market.  July 2010 was the first month following the expiration of the Homebuyers Tax Credit when sales declined dramatically.   When July home buyers would normally be in the market, many capitalized on the tax credit and bought a home before July.  July 2011 year-to-date sales are a better indicator of the state of the market.  Home sales are down 2% year-to-date from last year.   The upside is that July experienced a double-digit increase in contracts written.  This indicates that 2011 will probably end with sales at or below 2010 levels. 

Here’s a snapshot of the Houston single-family market:

Houston Single-Family Homes                                                                                Houston Real Estate Info Services [July Month and YTD 2011 vs. 2010]
 Metric # Sales July ‘11 % Change from July ‘10 # Sales YTD July ‘11 % Change July YTD ‘10
#  of sales 5,034 17% 30,950 -2%
Dollar volume $1,128,169,740 18% $6,651,648,072 0%
Avg. Sales Price  $224,110  1%  $214,916  3%
Med. Sales Price  $160,000  0%  $153,900  1%
Contracts written 3,077 11% 21,468 5%
# of listings 32,096 -10% 32,312 3%

For information on specific areas of Houston, click here.

For a glimpse of the Houston Hotness Index by area, click here.

To search for homes in Houston via your smartphone, text HHS to 87778 and follow the response link to download the app.

Information provided by the Houston Association of Realtors® Information Services and the Real Estate Center at Texas A & M University.  Written by Toni Nelson, Director of  Strategic Initiatives for Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors®.

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July 5th, 2011

Mid-Year Houston Economic Outlook is Upbeat

 

CB Richard Ellis reported in its second quarter 2011 retail market report that economic indicators such as job growth and housing offer an upbeat outlook for Houston.

Houston’s economy is now back to prerecession levels, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, and an “On Numbers” study of new data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics ranks Houston number one in retail job growth, with 4,100 retail jobs added since 2008.

Also, according to estimates released by the Texas Workforce Commission, Houston gained 45,000 jobs from May 2010 to May 2011.

The majority of Houston retail leasing activity is largely represented within the food and services industries, while grocery-anchored centers perform well because of their ability to attract significant amounts of consumer traffic.

Retailers continue to focus on the historically fast-growing, master-planned suburban areas and the high-income Inner Loop area. According to Metrostudy’s quarterly statistics, the most recently reported top five master-planned communities were Cinco Ranch (770 home starts), The Woodlands (756), Telfair (379), Bridgeland (287) and Sienna Plantation (259).

The Houston Real Estate Market Responds to Upbeat Economic Outlook.

The most recent real estate statistics compiled by the Houston Association of Realtors® indicate June single-family home sales were the first positive sign of recovery.  The Houston area experienced 5,571 homes sales, a 1% increase over June 2010.  Dollar volume was 4% higher and totalled $1,273,809,150 for the month.  The average sales price is currently $228,650 and that’s 4% more than found last year.  The median sales price for June registered at $161,000 – a 2% increase. 

The most fortunate news of all for June came in the “contracts written” category.  Contracts written represent current buyer demand and future home closings. They were 21% higher than last year.  There were 3,245 contracts written in the month of June.  This double digit increase is for certain, artificially high, as it is being compared to last years’ drop in buyer demand immediately following  the expiration of the 2010 Homebuyers Tax Credit.  

The second most positive news about June came in the area of active listings.  There has been a 5% decrease in homes on the market since last year.  Active listings currently total  32,970.   Falling inventory, if even ever so slight helps keep home values stable and/or rising and that’s good news for homeowners.

Stay tuned for next months’ update on the Houston market. 

Source: Texas Real Estate Center and Houston Association of Realtors® Real Estate Information Services.

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June 9th, 2011

Houston Real Estate Fares Better Than Most – May YTD 2011

 

According to the Greater Houston Partnership in its’ “Houston – The Economy at a Glance” distributed June 2011, Houston has fared better than most and has now recovered three fourths of its job losses experienced during the recession.  For an indepth report on the Houston Economy, click here.

The Houston real estate market is currently being compared to last years’ economic stimulus incentive – the Homebuyer Tax Credit. Last year, the tax credit pulled buyer demand forward.  When the tax credit deadline for being “under contract” expired, and closings were completed circa July 15th, buyer demand declined.   This year’s market is functioning under the normal market incentives found in homeownership – mortgage interest rate deduction, building equity and currently, low interest rates. 

Houston Housing as it stands currently. 

Now is a great time to buy real estate in Houston.  Interest rates are still low, homes are well-priced and inventory is plentiful.  These assets never stay the same for long.  The single-family sales May YTD closed out at 20,343 or 7% fewer homes than last year. It has exceeded the 2010 May YTD in average sales price by 3% and is 8% above the number of homes on the market last year. 

Houston has experienced 15,146 contracts written year-to-date and is up from this time last year by 2%. This indicates the market is slowly returning to normal as just last month, contracts written were down by 2%. Contracts written are contracts scheduled to close in the future and indicate current buyer demand.  

Houston Home Values Are Likely to Hold

Houstons’ average sales price is up 3% year-to-date; yet median sales price [where half the homes sell above and half sell below the midpoint] is flat. Inventory has remained the same since last month and actually declined 2% from February to March and then 2% again from April to May.  This indicates no additional inventory has crept into the market that would inordinately hold housing values down.

Houston Real Estate Information Services [MLS]May YTD 2011 vs. May YTD 2010
 Measurement  Amount % change from 2010
# of sales 20,343 -7%
Dollar volume $4,270,246,267 -4%
Average sales price $209,912 3%
Median sales price $150,000 0%
Contracts written 15,146 2%
# of active listings 32,223 8%

The Price Class Spectrum Impact

 One definitive change in the Houston real estate market over last year has been buyer demand by price class.  Homes priced between $80,000 – $299,999 are selling fewer units than last year and in many cases are experiencing double-digit declines.  Yet homes below $80,000 and above $500,000 [both extreme ends of the price class spectrum] are experiencing increases in buyer demand over last year.

At the high end of the price class spectrum, most notable of all price class sales increases is the

  • $700,000-$799,999 range which has experienced a 37% increase over last year. 
  • The second highest demand increase [29%] has been in the $900,000-$999,000 range and
  • Homes priced $1 million and over are up 9% from 2010.

 The Houston overall market is so large, it rarely reflects the same trends as a submarket area located within its boundaries.  Some areas are shining brightly while others are not as lustrous.  For a breakdown of activity by area, CLICK HERE.

To see the hottest selling geographical areas in Houston, CLICK HERE.

To search for homes by price range, map and/or even foreclosures, go to www.GaryGreene.com.

 

Data provided by the Houston Association of Realtors® Multiple Listing Service, and The Real Estate Center for Texas A&M and written by Toni Nelson, Director of Strategic Initiatives for Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors®

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May 13th, 2011

Downtown Houston bustling with activity

 

HOUSTON (Houston Business Journal, RealtyNewsReport.com) – Downtown Houston is bustling with activity lately. Chevron is expected to pay $380 million for the 50-story, 1.25 million-sf tower at 1400 Smith. Meanwhile, Skanska is under contract to buy the Houston Club Building at 811 Rusk.

And according to Mike Hassler of CB Richard Ellis, the historic Texaco Building at 1111 Rusk is being sold for redevelopment as residences.

Other buildings in play include the 1.7 million-sf Wells Fargo Plaza at 1000 Louisiana, the KBR Tower at 601 Jefferson, Travis Tower at 1300 Main, and Cullen Center at 500 Jefferson.

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May 10th, 2011

Houston ranks third in Fortune 500 companies

 

The media mostly goes negative on real estate from an investment standpoint.  Unfortunately, their statistics are national and rarely reflect what it’s really like at the local level.  It’s all about jobs and the economic health of a region that primarily drive real estate sales and values.

The Houston real estate market is currently being compared with the market last year, which was part of the economic stimulus – the Homebuyer Tax Credit. As a result, the market doesn’t look as robust as it will be.  Last year, the tax credit pulled buyer demand forward.  When the tax credit deadline for being “under contract” expired, and closings were completed, buyer demand went south.   This year’s market is functioning under normal market incentives found in homeownership – mortgage interest rate deduction, building equity and currently, low interest rates.  Below is a refreshing picture of how the Houston housing market will fare in the future based on its strong job base.

Credit goes to the Greater Houston Partnership Research Department for compiling statistics on Houston’s national ranking of Fortune 500 companies:

“Twenty-three companies on the 2011 Fortune 500 list are headquartered in the Houston MSA based on the rankings released today [5/5/2011] by Fortune magazine. Houston ranks third among areas in Fortune 500 headquarters, behind New York (74) and Chicago (27), and ahead of Los Angeles (21), Dallas-Fort Worth (20), and Minneapolis-St. Paul (19). Many other Fortune 500 companies maintain U.S. administrative headquarters in Houston.

Targa Resources is new to the Houston list. This independent midstream energy company landed at #416 on the 2011 list with $5.5 billion in revenues.

The biggest movers are Frontier Oil moving up from #488 ($4.2 billion) in 2010 to #389 ($5.9 billion) in 2011, Baker Hughes from #243 ($9.7 billion) to #170 ($14.4 billion) and Apache from #271 ($8.6 billion) to #206 ($12.1 billion).

Three companies fell off the list. Continental Airlines merged with United Airlines, and the newly formed company is located in Chicago. Smith International was acquired by Schlumberger in 2010. FMC Technologies was just short of making the cutoff with revenues of $4.1 billion while the #500 company made $4.4 billion in revenues.

FORTUNE 500 COMPANIES HEADQUARTERED IN HOUSTON MSA
Company (Rank) Revenues ($ billions) Company (Rank) Revenues ($ billions)
ConocoPhillips (4) 184.966 CenterPoint Energy (279) 8.785
Marathon Oil (29) 68.413 Kinder Morgan (294) 8.190
Sysco (67) 37.243 Enbridge Energy Partners (309) 7.736
Enterprise Products Partners (80) 33.739 Calpine (349) 6.637
Plains All American Pipeline (99) 25.893 Cameron International (375) 6.134
Halliburton (144) 17.973 EOG Resources (377) 6.099
Baker Hughes (170) 14.414 Frontier Oil (389) 5.884
Waste Management (196) 12.515 Group 1 Automotive (413) 5.509
National Oilwell Varco (202) 12.156 Targa Resources (416) 5.469
Apache (206) 12.092 Spectra Energy (441) 5.071
Anadarko Petroleum (223) 10.984 El Paso (481) 4.616
KBR (242) 10.099    
Source: Fortune, April 2011 

How lucky we are as Houstonians to have the most Fortune 500 companies in the state of Texas.  Not only do these companies provide good paying jobs but also spawn auxiliary businesses to service them.  Real estate and housing values are a benefactor of these employers and all entrepreneurs in Houston that create jobs.

Houston Housing as it stands currently.

 Now is a great time to buy real estate in Houston.  Interest rates are still low, homes are well-priced and inventory is plentiful.  These assets never stay the same for long.  What investor would buy an asset when it’s at its peak price?

 The single-family sales April YTD closed out at 15,268 or 5% fewer homes than last year. It has exceeded the 2010 April YTD in average sales price by 2% and is 10% above the number of homes on the market last year. 

Houston has experienced 11,728 contracts written year-to-date and is down 6% from this time last year when the tax incentive flurry was at its peak. Contracts written are contracts scheduled to close in the future and indicate current buyer demand.  

Houston Home Values Are Likely to Hold

Houstons’ average sales price is up 2% year-to-date; yet median sales price [where half the homes sell above and half sell below the midpoint] is down 2%. A declining median sales price is not a trend likely to continue.  Inventory has remained the same since last month and actually declined 2% from February to March.  This indicates no additional inventory has crept into the market that would inordinately hold housing values down.

Houston Real Estate Information Services [MLS]March YTD 2011 vs. March YTD 2010
 Measurement  Amount % change from 2010
# of sales 15,268 -5%
Dollar volume $3,160,533,581 -4%
Average sales price $207,004 2%
Median sales price $147,350 -2%
Contracts written 11,728 -6%
# of active listings 32,001 10%

The Price Class Spectrum Impact

 

One definitive change in the Houston real estate market over last year has been buyer demand by price class.  Homes priced $80,000 – $299,999 are selling fewer units than last year and in many cases are experiencing double-digit declines.  Yet homes below $80,000 and above $500,000 [both extreme ends of the price class sprectrum] are experiencing increases in buyer demand over last year.

At the high end of the price class spectrum, most notable of all price class sales increases is the

  • $700,000-$799,999 range which has experienced a 42% increase over last year. 
  • The second highest demand increase [23%] has been in the $900,000-$999,000 range and
  • Homes priced $1 million and over are up 10% from 2010.

 

All sales through April year-to-date priced $500,000 and above represent only 6% of the total units sold in Houston, and indeed, the hottest selling price classes in Houston listed below still reflect the most buyer demand in the mid-range spectrum price classes.

What home price classes were the hottest selling in Houston YTD through 4/ 2011? 

Top Ten Selling Price ClassesHouston Single-Family Real Estate

March YTD 2011

Price Class Sales Year to Date Active Listings Months of Inventory
1. $200,000-$249,999 1,368 3,399 8.3
2  $300,000-$399,999 1,148 2,917 9.0
3. $250,000-$299,999  1,082 2,698 8.9
4. $120,000-$129,999 765 1,517 7.1
5. $110,000-$119,999 747 1,573 7.7
6. $70,000-$79,999 683 996 6.1
7. $80,000-$89,999 681 1,269 6.7
8. $130,000-$139,999 679 1,519 7.5
9. $90,000-$99,999 652 1,452 8.1
10$140,000-$149,999 642 1,523 8.3

As you can see from the Top Ten Selling Price Classes in Houston for 2011, homes priced from $70,000-$399,000 represent the greatest amount of buyer demand even though sales are down from last year. These price classes represent 55% of all sales that have occurred in Houston year-to-date.

The Houston overall market is so large and rarely reflects the same trends as a submarket area located within its boundaries.  Some areas are shining brightly while others are not as lustrous.  For a breakdown of activity by area with a map, click here.

To see the hottest selling geographical areas in Houston, click here. To search for homes by price range, map and/or even foreclosures, click here.

Data provided by the Houston Association of Realtors® Multiple Listing Service, and The Real Estate Center for Texas A&M and written by Toni Nelson, Director of Strategic Initiatives for Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors®

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April 10th, 2009

Houston Real Estate Market Overview – First Quarter 2009

 

Houston’s current inventory is down 20% from this time last year, with 27,951 single-family homes on the market. This is contrary to the national scene depicting an overabundance of homes on the market and record foreclosures. What has changed in Houston over the last year has been the hotness of price classes. Last year, homes on the market priced over $400,000 were in high demand and today, the hottest selling home prices have moved more toward the center of the price class spectrum. High-end home sales have slowed.  In just one year, homes priced $1 Million and over have moved from a 28% increase in number of sales to a double digit decline in sales [-44%] with 22.8 Months of Inventory.   The graph depicted below displays the top ten hottest selling home prices for the First Quarter of 2009 based on number of home sales by price class.  
The Top Ten Hottest Selling Price Classes of single-family homes in Houston for First Quarter 2009 are:

Price Class

Sales Year to Date

Active Listings

Months of Inventory

1. $200,000-$249,999

951

2,806

6.2

2. $250,000-$299,999

636

2,390

7.8

3. $120,000-$129,999

608

1,269

4.6

4. $300,000-$399,999

601

2,795

8.4

5. $130,000-$139,999

584

1,262

4.7

6. $110,000-$119,999

553

1,321

5.2

  7. $80,000-$89,999

518

910

4.4

8.$100,000-$109,999

510

848

4.1

   9. $90,000-$99,999

492

1,123

5.7

 10. $70,000-$79,999

769

769

4.8

As you can see, most of  the top 10 selling price classes have a healthy months of inventory and many will enjoy single digit appreciation.  Also, it can be observed in the graph that the higher the price class, the higher the number of listings and the higher the months of inventory.  However, the fact that these higher price classes made the Top Ten Selling Price Classes in the First Quarter indicates their higher months of inventory will decline over the Spring and Summer months. 
In comparison to last years’ First Quarter, single family homes are experiencing the following:
• Sales are down 21% over First Quarter 2008 with 10,616 sales
• Dollar volume is down 28% over First Quarter 2008 with $1,928,552,302, [which we attribute more to the 44% decline in sales priced over $1 Million.]
• Average sales price is $181,665 or 10% lower than First Quarter last year.
• Median sales price is $138,000 or 7% lower
• Pending sales are 8,794 or 21% lower than last year
• Active listings are 27,951 or 20% lower than last year.

There are two things to keep in mind when reviewing the above First Quarter Comparison:

  1. We are comparing this year to the third best year in Houston residential history.
  2. Every metric noted above is an improvement from February year-to-date, so with each month that passes, Houston real estate is improving.

As we approach the Spring market, most economists predict that the country will pull out of a recession by September.  Consumer confidence is up.  Houston will be one of the first markets to emerge from the recession because it was never a market built on speculation. Houston has not nor will it experience rising unemployment.  Houston just could not innoculate itself from the lack of confidence in the national economy or the uncertainty that prevailed in the First Quarter of 2009.

Houston home buyers can capitalize on an $8,000 tax credit for first-time home buyers through the economic stimulus package, and interest rates are at record lows.  These factors together with Houston’s positive employment base and affordable housing should stimulate home sales during the Spring market.  Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors® anticipates that April sales will exceed every month’s sales found in the First Quarter, a time frame wrought with economic insecurity and a barrage of bad news. Restoring those two psychological factors, confidence and a greater sense of security, will go a long way toward restoring Houston real estate to a more vibrant real estate market.

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May 11th, 2009

Houston Real Estate Market Overview – April Year-to-Date 2009

 

Houston’s current inventory is down 21% from this time last year, with 27,857 single-family homes on the market. Even more interesting, current inventory for April is down from last month by 1% and with each month that passes in 2009, the percentage decline in home sales from the year before assuages. This is contrary to the national scene depicting an overabundance of homes on the market and record foreclosures.
Over the last year, Houston home price classes have changed in hotness. Last year, homes on the market priced $900,000 and above experienced a 21% increase in demand. All other price classes’ year-to-date April 2008 experienced a decline in demand in comparison to 2007 except for homes priced $79,999 and below. The year 2008 was a year of price demand at the lowest and highest extremities of the price class spectrum. In addition, the 21% increase in demand in the $900,000 and up price class last year skewed the statistics to reflect a higher average sales price that did not reflect reality. Today, homes priced $900,000-$999,999 are down 31% and homes priced over $1,000,000 are down 44%. These factors help more clearly explain how average sales prices are highly affected by extremes, and the median sales price is the best barometer for a markets health. The median price is the mid point price in the market where half the homes sold above and half sold below. It is not affected by price ranges at the extremes of the price class spectrum.
The graph depicted below displays the top ten hottest selling home prices for April year-to-date 2009 based on number of home sales by price class.
The Top Ten Hottest Selling Price Classes of single-family homes in Houston year-to-date are:

Price Class

Sales Year to Date

Active Listings

Months of Inventory

1. $200,000-$249,999

1,377

2,700

6.1

2. $250,000-$299,999

918

2,303

7.7

3. $300,000-399,999

909

2,767

8.4

4. $120,000-129,999

809

1,199

4.7

5. $110,000-119,999

762

1,253

5.2

6. $100,000-109,999

693

789

3.9

  7. $90,000-$99,999

684

1,066

5.5

8. $140,000-$149,999

682

1,098

5.1

   9. $80,000-$89,999

679

886

4.4

 10. $150,000-$159,999

671

1,096

5.1

As you can see, most of the top 10 selling price classes have healthy months of inventory and many will enjoy single digit appreciation. Also, it can be observed in the graph that the higher the price class, the higher the number of listings and the higher the months of inventory. Price classes that made the above Top Ten Selling Price Classes April year-to-date 2009 will most likely continue to see a healthy buyer demand throughout the spring and summer months.
In comparison to April year-to-date last year, single family homes are experiencing the following:
• Sales are down 21% with 14,799 sales
• Dollar volume is down 28% with $2,735,391,577
• Average sales price is $184,836 or 9% lower than last year, up by 1% from last month.
• Median sales price is $140,500 or 6% lower than last year, up by 1% from last month.
• Pending sales are 11,969 or 22% lower than last year
• Active listings are 27,857 or 21% lower than last year.
There are two things to keep in mind when reviewing the above April YTD Comparison:
1. We are comparing this year to the third best year in Houston residential history.
2. Every metric noted above is an improvement from February year-to-date, so with each month that passes, Houston real estate is improving.
Houston home buyers can capitalize on an $8,000 tax credit for first-time home buyers through the economic stimulus package, and interest rates are at record lows. These factors together with Houston’s positive employment base and affordable housing should stimulate an increase in home sales in the months to come. Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors® experienced a record sales month in April – one of the best since Hurricane Ike. As the economy continues to recover and people begin to feel more confident about the future and a greater sense of job security, Houston real estate will rise to the occasion

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June 10th, 2009

Houston Real Estate Market – May YTD 2009

 

Houston was named by Fast Company Magazine as one of the 13 most creative cities in the world.  To view the full article and find out why, go to:

13 Most Creative Cities in the World

 

Another milestone for Houston in the real estate arena came from the Texas A & M Real Estate Center quoting Mike Inselmann, President of MetroStudy about new home sales in Houston: ”

“Despite sharp cuts in new home production, Houston still ranks as the nation’s top home-building market from March 2008 to March 2009, when builders started 22,502 homes and closed 28,326.”

Houstonians are fortunate to be living in a city where the number of  single-family homes on the market [inventory] has declined more than the number of home sales or for that matter, the amount of buyer-demand.

In a nutshell, May YTD single family home sales in Houston according to the Houston Multiple Listing Service:

  1. Sales have reached 19,597 through May 2009, a 21% decline over year-to-date 2008.
  2. Dollar volume sold YTD as recorded in Houston Real Estate Informaton Services is $3,754,771,410, a 26% drop in volume found year-to-date in 2008.
  3. The average sales price of Houston single-family homes is $191,599 or 7% less than last year.
  4. The median price is $145,000 and that is only 3% less than last year.  Median is the mid-point price where half the homes sold above and half sold below.
  5. Pending sales recorded year-to-date are 15,072 or down by 22%.
  6. The most positive note in the market is that new listings are down by 24%, a decline greater than sales and also key to retaining home value.  Active listings reached 27,769 and that figure is down by 22% from this time last year.

All real estate is local and with the land mass of Houston, one of the nation’s largest cities geographically and in population, the overall market appears much different than subsets of the whole.  Some areas of Houston are in an appreciating mode, while others are not as favorable.

The top 5 residential areas ranked by hotness for May 2009 are:

  1. Katy - the south area with a hotness ratio of 22.5%, meaning 22.5% of all listings in the area received a contract in the month of May.
  2. Pasadena area – hotness ratio of 17.9%
  3. Fort Bend West – hotness ratio of 17.3%
  4. Near North - hotness ratio of 16.5%
  5. Southeast – hotness ratio of 16.3%

As you can see, these areas as well as others in Houston are experiencing the highest buyer demand in the city and differ quite substantially from the overall market expressed above.  For a complete list of areas ranked by hotness, please follow the link:   

Houston Hotness Index for May YTD 2009                                                  

 

For a complete review of the market by area, please visit:

Houston Area Market Update for May 2009

 

One of the interesting anomalies found in Houston real estate over the last year has been the change in buyer demand by price class.  Below are the hottest selling price classes for Houston real estate year-to-date 2009 and differ substantially from last year:

Price Class

Sales Year to Date

Active Listings

Months of Inventory

1. $200,000-$249,999

1,899

2,722

6.2

2. $250,000-$299,999

1,277

2,372

8

3. $300,000-$399,999

1,269

2,728

8.6

4. $130,000-$139,999

1,094

1,158

4.6

5. $120,000-$129,999

1,069

1,314

5.1

6. $110,000-$119,999

981

1,243

5.3

  7. $90,000-$99,999

913

1,015

5.3

8. $140,000-$149,999

910

1,1136

5.4

   9. $150,000-$159,999

902

1,118

5.4

 10. $100,000-$109,999

886

802

4.0

It appears that Houston has returned to its normal price class ranges that have been in demand historically.  Last year, the increases in homes sold over $1 million distorted overall average sales price and dollar volume  making the market appear healthier in appreciation than actual.  Hence, the average sales price and dollar volume declines seen this year are a comparison to last year making the market appear less robust than actual.

As the summer approaches, Houston real estate always surges ahead.  With interest rates at an all time low, the First-Time home buyer tax credit as a stimulus and one of the most positive economic climates in America, Houston will enjoy one of the best real estate markets the nation has to offer.

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July 10th, 2009

Houston Ranked #1 Housing Market in the Nation

 

The Brookings Institute ranked Houston the #1 housing market in the nation  according to an article in the Dallas Morning News,” the Brookings researchers  make these claims based on the Federal Housing Finance Agency’s quarterly house price index, which tracks values of homes mortgaged by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.”  To get the full story, click here…

 

While the national news paints a bleak economic outlook, news about Houston’s economic future continues to look positive.  Most recently, the 2014 completion of the Panama Canal is predicted to triple freight tonnage at the Port of Houston, according to Moody’s Economy.com. In addition, the Canal’s expansion will make way for larger vessels that will increase not only cargo traffic along the Houston Ship Channel, but also the need for improved logistics and rail. 

 

When it comes to housing, according to Mike Inselmann, President of MetroStudy, “Houston still ranks as the nation’s top home building market, from March 2008 to March 2009, when builders started 25,502 homes and closed 28,326.”

 

Good news in hand, with every month that passes in 2009, the market indicators improve in comparison to the previous months’.  The table below shows the difference between the market experienced in February YTD 2009 and June.  

YTD 2009 and all of the metrics have improved this year.  The only metric that has continued to decline is active listings. A decline in active listings is very good news for market stability, especially during the high demand summer months. 

 

Houston Market Improvement Comparison 2009

Market Indicator

February ‘09

June ‘09

% Change

# units sold

-24%

-20%

+4%

Dollar volume sold

-33%

-24%

+9%

Average Sales Price

-12%

-6%

+6%

Median Sales Price

-8%

-2%

+6%

# of Pending Sales

-23%

-21%

+2%

Active Listings

-20%

-22%

-2%

  

 The current market indicators for Houston overall are as follows:

 

  • Sales are down from June YTD 2008 by 20% with 24,994 single-family homes.
  • Dollar volume sold is down from June YTD 2008 by 24% with $4,946,350,671.
  • Average sales price is currently $197,902, down by 6%
  • Median sales price is $149,500, down by 2% [ median is the mid-point where half of the homes sold above and half below.
  • # of pending sales are 18,389 and that represents 21% fewer than found last year.
  • Active listings, a metric that is good if on a decline, are currently 27,826 or 22% less than last year.  This is also a metric that is the exact opposite heard frequently in the national news.

 

While these are not upbeat statistics, they are very upbeat in comparison to California, Arizona, Nevada and Florida, where foreclosures and rising inventory have left little hope of a bounce back any time soon.  Houston homeowners are very fortunate to live in the best housing market in the nation.

 

What home prices are the hottest selling in Houston right now?  The following table displays by price class the hottest selling price ranges in Houston in 2009:

 

Top Ten Selling Price Classes

Houston Single-Family Real Estate

June YTD 2009

Price Class

# of Sales Year to Date

Active Listings

Months of Inventory

1. $200,000-$249,999

2,522

2,811

6.4

2. $300,000-$399,999

1,720

2,764

8.9

3. $250,000-$299,999

1,699

2,399

8.2

4. $120,000-$129,999

1,360

1,328

5.3

5. $130,000-$139,999

1,357

1,209

5.0

6. $110,000-$119,000

1,265

1,293

5.6

7. $140,000-$149,999

1,164

1,198

5.8

8. $150,000-$159,999

1,138

1,091

5.4

9. $90,000-$99,999

1,125

1,092

5.7

10.$100,000-$109,999

1,085

833

4.3

 

As you can see, the top 10 selling price classes in Houston range from a low of $90,000 to a high of $399,000, and therein lies the largest demand for single-family homes. 

 

Houston buyers can capitalize on an $8,000 tax credit for first-time home buyers and use as a down payment under certain circumstances.  To find out more about the qualifications for an $8,000 tax credit, go to www.GaryGreene.com and select an agent for advice and cousel.  Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors® anticipates that the 2009 summer sales will far exceed the dismal first quarter, which was wrought with economic uncertainty and a barrage of bad news. 

 

 

More than any other factors, Houston has suffered from a loss of confidence and uncertainty of the future, especially during the months following Hurricane Ike.  The market improvement comparison table above indicates that our market is recovering from these psychological factors and moving toward more normal market conditions.

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September 9th, 2009

Houston Among Top 4 U.S. Cities In Which To Earn A Living

 

Houston was among the top U.S. cities in which to earn a living according to Forbes Magazine [article written September 3, 2009].  View the article by clicking here .

 

 

Forbes Magazine Summary:

“Among the best reasons to take up residence in Houston or Dallas, according to Forbes, is the number of top-ranked companies headquartered in each city: 38 and 15, respectively.”

The rankings were determined by median income, cost of living, job growth and the quality of the business environment. 

Most importantly, the magazine stated that ”if you are worried about the economic situation changing in Houston, Dallas or Austin, in the next few years, don’t be.  As health care, technology and energy take more employees into their ranks, cities that specialize in these core industries will continue to draw skilled workers and dole out attractive compensation.”

 

The Houston Market:

Each month that passes in 2009 brings more positive news about the Houston real estate market and its buoyancy.  The percentage declines we experienced in the first quarter of 2009 are declining.  Slowly but surely we are climbing back to a more normal market and with a bright employment picture ahead, real estate is destined for better days.

 

Houston Single-Family Market Improvement Comparison 2009

 

Market Indicator

 

February ‘09

 

June ‘09

 

August ‘09

% Change from 02/09 to 08/09

# of units sold

-24%

-20%

-16%

+8%

Dollar Volume Sold

-33%

-24%

-20%

+14%

Avg. Sales Price

-12%

-6%

-5%

+7%

Median Sales Price

-8%

-2%

-1

+7%

# of Pending Sales

-23%

-21%

-19%

+4%

Active Listings

-20%

-22%

-22%

-2%

August 2009 Report from Real Estate Center at Texas A & M and Houston Association of Realtors

The table above displays how the Houston area market appeared to reach bottom in February with almost one fourth of the number of units and one third of the dollar volume dissolving from the previous year-to-date.  However, as time marches through 2009, those declines have declined.  See the column above “% Change from 02/09 to 08/09” to see the market improvement.  The only market indicator that is not in a positive position is the number of active listings, which  are down by 22% over this time last year and down 2% from February 2009.  Reduced inventory is a positive indicator and prevents real estate values from declining.

Here is a summary of Houston Single-Family Real Estate Market statistics for August 2009 year over year comparison:

 

  • Sales reached 35,792 units sold, a 16% decline over August YTD 2008.
  • Dollar volume sales reached $7,272,385,965, a 20% decline during the same time frame.
  • Average sales price is $203,185, a 5% decline over August YTD 2008.
  • Median sales price [half of the homes sold above the median and half below, and not subject to extreme fluctuations like average sales price] is $153,500 and that figure is down by only 1% from this time last year.
  • # of pending sales or homes that have gone under contract year-to-date are 24,985 or a 19% decline over August YTD 2008.
  • Active listings are 27,882 or 22% below those found in August YTD 2008.

While these statistics are not glowing, # of sales, dollar volume sold and pending sales have even improved from July, so the market continues to return with every month that passes. The Brookings Institute ranked Houston the #1 housing market in the nation; see our July 10, 2009 blog for details.  Houstonians are fortunate to have weathered this economic downturn better than any in the nation.

 

What home prices are the hottest selling in Houston right now?  The following table displays by price class the hottest selling price ranges in Houston in 2009:

Top 10 Selling Price Classes

Houston Single-Family Real Estate

August YTD 2009

 

Price Class

# Sales YTD

Active

Listings

Months of

Inventory

1.     $200,000-$249,999

3,723

2,828

6.5

2.  $300,000-$399,999

2,577

2,655

8.7

3.  $250,000-$299,999

2,533

2,347

8.0

4.  $130,000-$139,999

2,000

1,204

4.9

5.  $120,000-$129,999

1,973

1,283

5.3

6.  $110,000-$119,999

1,760

1,287

5.8

7.  $150,000-$159,999

1,693

1,066

5.3

8.  $140,000-$149,999

1,681

1,164

5.8

9.    $90,000-$99,999

1,577

1,171

6.2

10.$160,000-$169,999

1,529

  1,027

5.6

 As you can see, the top selling homes by price class in Houston year-to-date range from a low of $90,000 to a high of $399,999, and these price classes represent the highest buyer demand for single-family homes.

First-time home buyers are encouraged to capitalize on the 2009 First-Time Homebuyers IRS Tax Credit as it stands a good possibility of expiring on December 1.  See if you qualify by taking the quiz located on the lower left hand corner of http://media.garygreene.com/.  For more information on the First-Time Homebuyers Tax Credit, please click here 

 

Houston and its homes are positioned for a great future.  Buying a home in Houston now could prove to be a wise investment for your future. 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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October 9th, 2009

Houston and Texas to Lead Economic Recovery

 

According to a nationwide forecast by IHS Global Insight, four major Texas metros will be among the first in the nation to recover from the recession.  San Antonio and Austin are expected to bounce back to prerecession job levels sometime next year, predicts the Lexington, Mass.-based economic forecasting firm.

Houston and Dallas-Fort Worth are among eight other Metropolitan areas predicted to recover by 2011.  At Prudential Gary Greene Realtors, we believe that the best time to capitalize on a bounce back is before it bounces back!  With interest rates at an all-time low and only a few months left to receive the $8,000 IRS Tax Credit for First-Time Homebuyers[expires December 1, 2009], there has never been a better time to invest in a home, particularly in Houston.

The Houston Market for Third Quarter Year-to-Date 2009:

The trend is continuing.  With each month that passes in 2009, the Houston real estate market shows a marked improvement from the previous months:

Houston Market Improvement Comparison 2009

Market Indicator

February ‘09

June ‘09

Sept. ‘09

% Change from

June ‘09

# units sold

-24%

-20%

-13%

+54%

Dollar volume sold

-33%

-24%

-17%

+41%

Average Sales Price

-12%

-6%

-4%

+50%

Median Sales Price

-8%

-2%

-1%

+50%

# of Pending Sales

-23%

-21%

-15%

+40%

Active Listings

-20%

-22%

-21%

-4.8%

February YTD is used as a comparison as it appears to be the month when Houston hit bottom in residential real estate.  June YTD is mid-year, and displays an improved market from February YTD.   The best YTD month in terms of  market improvement is September YTD.  Granted, last September statistics were marred by Hurricane Ike and has been a factor in making these current statistics look far better.  However, the last quarter of 2008 was also plagued with the mortgage meltdown, destabilization of our financial markets and a barrage of bad economic news.  The author believes 2009 will end much smoother than  the year began.  The New Year should experience a continuuance of the market trends seen herein and it will pave the way for a 2011 economic bounce back to pre-recession levels as predicted by IHS Global Insight. 

Here’s a quick synopsis of the above market indicators for September YTD 2009:

  • Single-family home sales reached 40,558, which is down by 13% from Sept. YTD 2008.
  • Dollar volume sold reached $8,247,700,781 or 17% less than found this same time last year.
  • Average sales price is currently $203,356 and that is down by 4% over Third Quarter YTD 2008.
  • Median sales price is $154,000 and that is down by 1%.
  • Pending sales [contracts written] reached 28,042 and that figure is down by 15% over this time last year.
  • There are currently 27,824 active listings in the Houston area, 21% fewer than found a year ago.

The market continues to strengthen due to two factors:

  1. the current decline in sales [-13%]is not nearly as steep as
  2. the decline in inventory, a.k.a. listings [-21%]. 

What price of homes are hot in Houston currently?  The table below shows the top ten price classes and they represent the hottest number of sales.

Top Ten Hottest Selling Price Classes

Houston Single-Family Real Estate

Third Quarter YTD 2009

Price Class

Sales Year to Date

Active Listings

Months of Inventory

1. $200,000-$249,999

4,224

2,726

6.1

2. $300,000-$399,999

2,931

2,589

8.3

3. $250,000-$299,999

2,879

2,237

7.4

4. $130,000-$139,999

2,254

1,193

4.8

5. $120,000-$129,999

2,251

1,282

5.2

6. $110,000-$119,999

1,982

1,225

5.5

7. $140,000-$149,999

1,951

1,172

5.6

8. $150,000-$159,999

1,943

1,053

5.1

9.   $90,000-$99,999

1,779

1,125

5.8

10.$160,000-$169,999

1,752

1,022

5.5

From an investment standpoint, now is the time to purchase a home in Houston, Texas and purchasing in the hottest selling price classes minimizes that risk. 

*Statistics derived from data received from Houston Realtors® Information Services and The Real Estate Center at Texas A & M University and compiled by Toni C. Nelson, Director of Strategic Initiatives for Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors®.

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November 6th, 2009

New IRS Tax Credit Opens Door of Opportunity to More Americans

 

There are few times in our lives when homes and the interest rates to buy them are “on sale”.  And now, an IRS Tax Credit that has been expanded to include current homeowners, as well as first-time homebuyers makes this “Window of Opportunity”  even greater for people considering buying a home.   The previous IRS Tax Credit was limited to First-Time Homebuyers with income limits of $75,000, however those have now been expanded to income limits of up to $225,000.

Most economists predict that inflation is in our future,so the best time to capitalize on rising prices is to purchase before the prices rise.  An IRS Tax Credit makes this a moment in time that spells O-P-P-O-R-T-U-N-I-T-Y for investing in a home.   And it expires April 30, 2010.

If buying a home is in your future, please log on to www.garygreene.com and select an agent to assist you in finding the home of your dreams. irstaxcreditparameters

For the most comprehensive information about the new IRS Tax Credit expansion and extension, please vist http://www.realtor.org/home_buyers_and_sellers/2009_first_time_home_buyer_tax_credit

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November 10th, 2009

Houston Single-Family Home Sales Improve 81% Since June

 

The 2009-2010 IRS Tax Credit for home buyers was extended and expanded in November.  The new expiration date is April 30, 2010 and the tax credit now includes current homeowners, not just First-Time Homebuyers and income limits were expanded to $225,000.  For detailed information on this home buyer advantage, please click here.

 With new incentives in hand, every month that passes in 2009, shows great improvement in comparison to the previous months’.  The table below shows the difference between the market experienced in February, June and October YTD 2009.   As you can see, as 2009 progresses, the single-family housing market is slowly marching toward a healthier market.

Houston Market Improvement Comparison 2009 of Single-Family Homes

Market Indicator

February ‘09

June ‘09

Oct. ‘09

% Change from

June ‘09

# units sold

-24%

-20%

-11%

+81%

Dollar volume sold

-33%

-24%

-14%

+71%

Average Sales Price

-12%

-6%

-4%

+50%

Median Sales Price

-8%

-2%

-1%

+50%

# of Pending Sales

-23%

-21%

-14%

+50%

Active Listings

-20%

-22%

-21%

-.46%

  A summary of October YTD market statistics compared to last year:

  • Sales are down from October YTD 2008 by 11% with 45,391 single-family homes.
  • Dollar volume sold is down from October YTD 2008 by 14% with $9,202,482,156.
  • Average sales price is currently $202,738, down by 4%.
  • Median sales price is $153,000, down by 1% [half of the homes sold above and half below this midpoint range.
  • # of contracts written [pending] are 31,101 and that represents 14% fewer than found last year.
  • Active listings, a metric that is good if on a decline, are currently 27,758 or 21% less than last year.  This is also a metric that in Houston is the exact opposite heard frequently in the national news.

 The newly extended Homebuyer IRS Tax Credit should stimulate sales, particularly in the Spring of 2010 and it will be interesting to see if inventory continues to decline as it has in recent months.  The IRS Tax Credit should boost Houston back to normal market conditions sooner than it would have on its own.  Another added benefit to increasing home sales is that economists believe that for every home that is sold, regardless of the price, a $66,000 economic multiplier effect positively impacts the local market in which the home resides.  The IRS Tax Credit is truly an economic stimulus that sparks the local economy.

 What home price classes are the hottest selling in Houston right now?  The following table indicates by price class the hottest selling price ranges in Houston in 2009:

 

 

Top Ten Selling Price Classes

Houston Single-Family Real Estate

Third Quarter YTD 2009

Price Class

Sales Year to Date

Active Listings

Months of Inventory

1. $200,000-$249,999

4,712

2,666

5.9

2. $250,000-$299,999

3,220

2,176

7.0

3. $300,000-$399,999

3,213

2,534

8.1

4. $130,000-$139,999

2,557

1,129

4.5

5. $120,000-$129,999

2,541

1,296

5.1

6. $110,000-$119,999

2,274

1,296

5.7

7. $140,000-$149,999

2,214

1,182

5.5

8. $150,000-$159,999

2,181

1,103

5.2

9. $90,000-$99,999

2,027

1,155

5.8

10. $160,000-$169,999

1,981

1,004

5.2

 

 

As you can see, the top 10 selling price classes in Houston range from a low of $90,000 to a high of $399,000, and therein lies the largest demand for single-family homes in the Houston Multiple Listing Service. 

Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors® feels certain that fourth quarter 2009 sales will exceed fourth quarter 2008, which was interrupted by a devastating hurricane, economic uncertainty and a barrage of bad news.  The Houston market has experienced a loss of confidence and uncertainty of the future, especially during the months following Hurricane Ike.  The market improvement comparison table above indicates that our market is on the road to recovery.  This market also spells opportunity, particularly with the IRS Tax Credit, to purchase a home before Houston experiences an upswing in the market, which inevitably will happen.  The best time to capitalize on a “bounce-back” is before it bounces back.

Data derived from the Houston Association of Realtors® Real Estate Information Services and compiled by Toni Nelson, Director of Strategic Initiatives for Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors®.  Market statistics occurring outside the HAR MLS are not reflected in this report.

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December 9th, 2009

Houston Real Estate Moving in the Right Direction.

 

 

Houston real estate sales in November 2009 experienced:

  1. A 33% increase in single-family homes or a total of 4,519 sales.
  2. A 42% increase in dollar volume sales for a total of $899,046,012.
  3. A 7% increase in average sales price which is currently $150,000.
  4. Days on the Market [DOM] – the time it takes on average to sell a single-family home in Houston declined 15% and is currently 76 DOM.
  5. Pending sales dropped 15% for a total of 2,304 contracts written and recorded in November.
  6. Current listings are down 10% for a total single-family listing count of 27,220. 

While most of these statistics are very positive, it should be noted that the comparison is with November 2008, which was suffering the aftermath of Hurricane Ike.

 

Houston real estate sales November YTD 2009:

For the first time this year, single-family home sales have moved from double-digit declines to single-digit declines YTD. Thus, the Houston real estate market is moving in the right direction and experiencing improvement with every month that passes in 2009.

Houston Market Improvement Comparison 2009 of Single-Family Homes

Market Indicator

February ‘09

June ‘09

Nov. ‘09

% Improved from

June ‘09

# units sold

-24%

-20%

-8%

+60%

Dollar volume sold

-33%

-24%

-11%

+54%

Average Sales Price

-12%

-6%

-3%

+50%

Median Sales Price

-8%

-2%

0%

+100%

# of Pending Sales

-23%

-21%

-14%

+33%

Active Listings

-20%

-22%

-20%

-.9%

 

The current market statistics for Houston November YTD overall are as follows:

  • Sales YTD are 49,928 single-family homes, an 8% decline since YTD 2008.
  • Dollar volume sold is down from November YTD 2008 by 11% with $10,102,602,394
  • Average sales price is currently $202,343, down by 3%.
  • Median sales price is $153,000, and equal to last year [half of the homes sold above and half below this midpoint range.
  • # of contracts written [pending] is 33,405 and that represents 14% fewer than found last year.
  • Active listings, a metric that is good if on a decline, are currently 27,709 or 20% less than last year.

 The November 7th  legistlative extension and expansion of the 2009-2010 Homebuyer IRS Tax Credit should stimulate home sales, more so than the original tax credit.  The expansion is not limited to first-time homebuyers and increased the income limits to $225,000.  For more information on the IRS Tax Credit, click here.    

 The IRS Tax Credit should help bring Houston back to normal sooner than it would have without this program.

What home price classes are the hottest selling in Houston right now?  The following table indicates by price class the hottest selling price ranges in Houston in 2009:

 

Top Ten Selling Price Classes

Houston Single-Family Real Estate

Nobember YTD 2009

Price Class

Sales Year to Date

Active Listings

Months of Inventory

1. $200,000-$249,999

5,198

2,654

5.7

2  $300,000-$399,999

3,540

2,470

7.7

3. $250,000-$299,999

3,506

2,161

6.8

4. $130,000-$139,999

2,888

1,177

4.5

5. $120,000-$129,999

2,846

1,366

5.3

6. $110,000-$119,999

2,533

1,320

5.7

7. $140,000-$149,999

2,448

1,232

5.5

8. $150,000-$159,999

2,397

1,070

4.9

9. $90,000-$99,999

2,230

1,175

5.8

10.$160,000-$169,999

2,191

1,029

5.2

 As you can see, the top 10 selling price classes in Houston range from a low of $90,000 to a high of $399,000, and therein lies the largest demand for single-family homes in the Houston Multiple Listing Service. 

To view homes available in every price range, go to www.GaryGreene.com .

 With every month that passes in 2009, the Houston real estate market has consistently improved.  To move from a sales decline of 24% in February to 8% in November is a remarkable feat, in and of itself. Furthermore, the market improvement comparison table [first table above] indicates that not only are sales improving, all metrics that comprise a good real estate market have consistently improved during the year.  This is a market of opportunity, particularly with the IRS Tax Credit and historically low interest rates.  Houston is expected to return to pre-recession levels in 2011 and home prices will rise. The best time to capitalize on a “bounce-back” is before it bounces back.  That time is now.

Information derived from Houston Association of Realtors® Multiple Listing Service.  Data compiled by Toni Nelson, Director of Strategic Initiatives, Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors®

 

 

 

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January 12th, 2010

Houston Real Estate Starts 2010 on Upward Trend

 

Houston real estate sales in December 2009 experienced:

  1. A 2% decline in single-family homes or a total of 4,456 sales.
  2. A 13% increase in dollar volume sales for a total of $976,817,584. Dollar volume was lower than last December yet higher than November’s $899,046,012.
  3. A 15% increase in average sales price which is currently $219,214.
  4. Days on the Market [DOM] – the time it takes on average to sell a single-family home in Houston declined 12% and is currently 83 DOM.
  5. Pending sales dropped 21% for a total of 2,267 contracts written.
  6. Current listings are down 6% for a total single-family listing count of 26,086.

 While most of these statistics look flat in comparison to November 2009, there were two reasons for last November’s real estate rally.

1.      The IRS First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit expired on December 1.  Although this legislation was extended and expanded November 7, 2009, the original tax credit created a flurry of buying activity that culminated in closings in November. 

2.      November 2008 was a very somber month in real estate as Houston was recovering from the aftermath of Hurricane Ike.  Also, November 2009 did not experience the trauma of a hurricane or the psychological recession  of the mortgage meltdown and financial crisis – all found in November 2008. 

Houston real estate sales December YTD 2009:

 

For the second and final time this year, single-family home sales have moved from double-digit declines YTD to single-digit declines of 7%. Thus, the Houston real estate market concluded 2009 by continuing to move in the right direction and experiencing improvement once again in December.

Houston Market Improvement Comparison 2009 of Single-Family Homes

Market Indicator

February ‘09

June ‘09

Dec. ‘09

% Improved from

June ‘09

# units sold

-24%

-20%

-7%

+185%

Dollar volume sold

-33%

-24%

-9%

+167%

Average Sales Price

-12%

-6%

-2%

+300%

Median Sales Price

-8%

-2%

+1%

+100%

# of Pending Sales

-23%

-21%

-14%

+50%

Active Listings

-20%

-22%

-19%

-15.7%

 

 Although Houston was not out of negative territory as the year came to an end, what a remarkable recovery and tremendous strides it made with every month that passed in 2009.

Houston 2009 – The Year in Review::

 

  • Sales YTD are 54,415 single-family homes, an 7% decline since YTD 2008.
  • Dollar volume sold is down from December YTD 2008 by 9% with $11,080,284,138.
  • Average sales price is currently $203,626, down by 2%.
  • Median sales price is $153,000, and 1% above last year [half of the homes sold above and half below this midpoint range.
  • # of contracts written [pending] is 35,672 and that represents 14% fewer than found last year.
  • Active listings, a metric that is good if on a decline, are currently 27,574 or 19% less than last year.

 What’s in store for Houston real estate in 2010?

The November 7th  legistlative extension and expansion of the 2009-2010 Homebuyer IRS Tax Credit should stimulate home sales, more so than the original tax credit.  The expansion is not limited to first-time homebuyers and increased the income limits to $225,000.  For more information on the IRS Tax Credit, http://www.realtor.org/home_buyers_and_sellers/2009_first_time_home_buyer_tax_credit    

The IRS Tax Credit should help bring Houston back to a more normal market sooner than it would have on its own. 

Houston’s diverse economy of energy, health and the Port of Houston should see a resurgence in 2010.  Many economists predict Houston to return to pre-recession levels in 2011.

What home price classes were the hottest selling in Houston in 2009? 

The following table indicates by price class the hottest selling price ranges in Houston in 2009:

Top Ten Selling Price Classes

Houston Single-Family Real Estate

The Year 2009

Price Class

Sales Year to Date

Active Listings

Months of Inventory

1. $200,000-$249,999

5,605

2,530

5.4

2  $300,000-$399,999

3,910

2,309

7.1

3. $250,000-$299,999

3,846

2,080

6.5

4. $130,000-$139,999

3,118

1,173

4.5

5. $120,000-$129,999

3,109

1,330

5.1

6. $110,000-$119,999

2,763

1,285

5.6

7. $140,000-$149,999

2,640

1,175

5.3

8. $150,000-$159,999

2,600

1,063

4.9

9. $90,000-$99,999

2,453

1,175

5.7

10.$160,000-$169,999

2,346

999

5.1

 As you can see from the Top Ten Selling Price Classes in Houston for 2009, hot selling prices ranged between $90,000-$399,000. This completes the Top Ten Selling Price Classes in Houston single-family demand for homes in Houston for 2009.  These price classes are expected to be just as hot in Houston in 2010 as they were in 2009, and more are expected to sell.  Why?  The 2010 IRS Home Buyer Tax Credit expanded to include more of these price classes [due to expanded income limits] than found in the original bill.

 

To search for homes by price range, map and/or even foreclosures, go to www.GaryGreene.com.

 

Date provided by the Houston Association of Realtors® Multiple Listing Service, and The Real Estate Center for Texas A&M and written by Toni Nelson, Director of Strategic Initiatives for Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors®

 

 

 

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February 9th, 2010

Houston Real Estate Market Experiences an Upswing in Upscale Home Sales

 

When you first review the single-family residential market for January 2010, you might think everything you learned in Economics 101 is irrelevant.  How do you have fewer home sales, fewer contracts written and higher average and median sales price in comparison to last year?  The answer is in the price classes of homes that closed during the month.  Homes priced above $500,000 experienced double-digit declines last year, except for the $800,000-$899,999 price class which saw a 1% increase in number of homes sold. 

Now comes January 2010, and all price classes above $500,000 are in double-digit increases.  There are 2 exceptions: $700,000-$799,999 price class experienced a 9% decline over last year and $800,000-$899,999 price class experienced a 117% increase, the highest increase of all price classes.  That is perplexing – a price class just below a higher price class experiences a decline while the price class above breaks all records.  Go figure.  There were also 19 homes that sold for over a million giving that price class a 27% increase over sales the previous year.

All sales in January priced over $500,000 represented only 5% of the total units sold in Houston, however the impact these price classes sold had on average sales price and median sales price make it appear that there is home price appreciation in the Houston overall market.  Houston is so large, it is like a mosaic.  Some areas are shining brightly while others are not as lustrous.  For a breakdown of activity by area with a map, go to http://garygreene.mediaroom.com/index.php?s=38&cat=14.

 Houston real estate sales in January 2010 experienced:
  1. A 12% decline in single-family homes or a total of 2,514 sales.
  2. A 4% increase in dollar volume sales for a total of $488,103,156.
  3. An 18% increase in average sales price which is currently $194,154.
  4. Days on the Market [DOM] – the time it takes on average to sell a single-family home in Houston declined 16% and is currently 80 DOM.
  5. Pending sales dropped 17% for a total of 2,301 contracts written.
  6. Current listings are down 1% for a total single-family listing count of 27,465.

Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors® believes the housing market will pick up steam as we approach the Spring selling season for 2 reasons:

  1. The IRS Home Buyer Tax Credit  benefits both current homeowners as well as first-time home buyers and expires on April 1.  To see if you qualify, go to

 http://www.realtor.org/home_buyers_and_sellers/2009_first_time_home_buyer_tax_credit

   2.  Interest rates are at an all-time low and when these two benefits coincide, the result is a flurry of buying activity that will culminate before April.

 This will spark demand through April, but what about the rest of the year?  While Houston lost jobs in 2008-2009, most economic experts anticipate the job growth to return to pre-recession levels beginning this year and extending into the entire 2011.  Jobs, more so than tax credits and low interest rates are the biggest driver of home sales. 

Previously, we mentioned the rise in upscale homes as a rationale for a rise in average and median price in the overall Houston market for January 2010.  These were attributable to only 5% of all sales in Houston.

What home price classes were the hottest selling in Houston in January 2010? 

The following table indicates by price class the hottest selling price ranges in Houston in 2010:

Top Ten Selling Price Classes

Houston Single-Family Real Estate

The Year 2010

Price Class

Sales Year to Date

Active Listings

Months of Inventory

1. $200,000-$249,999

216

2,708

5.8

2  $250,000-$299,999

179

2,171

6.7

3. $300,000-$399,999

157

2,429

7.4

4. $120,000-$129,999

138

1,409

5.5

5. $130,000-$139,999

131

1,281

4.9

6. $110,000-$119,999

129

1,362

5.9

7. $80,000-$89,999

122

1,082

5.9

8. $90,000-$99,999

117

1,195

5.9

9. $160,000-$169,999

116

1,073

5.5

10$70,000-$79,999

104

800

5.2

 As you can see from the Top Ten Selling Price Classes in Houston for 2010, hot selling prices ranged from $70,000-$399,000. These price classes and homes priced up to $800,000 are expected to be hot in Houston in 2010.  Why?  The 2010 IRS Home Buyer Tax Credit expanded to include houses priced up to $800,000. 

To search for homes by price range, map and/or even foreclosures, go to www.GaryGreene.com.

Data provided by the Houston Association of Realtors® Multiple Listing Service, and The Real Estate Center for Texas A&M and written by Toni Nelson, Director of Strategic Initiatives for Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors®

 

 

 

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March 11th, 2010

Houston Home Sales Priced Above $250,000 Experience Increased Demand

 

The Houston single-family residential real estate market is experiencing some unusual statistics as it marches into 2010.  With 8% fewer home sales and 11% fewer contracts written, how do average and median sales prices of homes go up in comparison to 2009? The answer is in the price classes of homes that have closed this year.  Homes priced above $250,000, for the most part, experienced an overall sales decline in 2009.

Now comes closed sales in the first two months of 2010, and all price classes above $250,000 have experienced increases.  The two price class exceptions were the $700,000-$799,999 and $900,000-$999,999.  These two price classes are at the same level of demand as found in 2009.

What’s also unusual?  Home price classes below $250,000 have all experienced single to double digit declines in the first two months. These price classes were in highest demand this time last year.

At least for the two months of 2010, there has been resurgence in higher end housing demand and a decline in price classes below $250,000.

Most notable of all price classes is the $800,000-$899,999 range which has experienced a 93% increase over last year.  The second highest demand increase [53%] has been in the $400,000-$499,000 range and the third highest increase [50%] in demand is $1,000,000 or above.  

       

All sales through February year-to-date priced over $249,999 represented only 22.15% of the total units sold in Houston, however their collective impact on average sales price and median sales price make it appear that there is home price appreciation in the Houston overall market.  Houston is so large, it is like a mosaic.  Some areas are shining brightly while others are not as lustrous.  The best way to analyze actual activity by area is to view a breakdown of activity by area with a map, go to http://garygreene.mediaroom.com/index.php?s=38&cat=14.

 Houston real estate sales February YTD 2010 experienced:

 

  1. An 8% decline in single-family homes or a total of 5,792 sales. This is a decline which has improved from January’s 12% decline.
  2. A 5% increase in dollar volume sales for a total of $1,149,747,831.  This is an increase from January’s 4% increase.
  3. A 15% increase in average sales price which is currently $198,506.  In January the increase was 18%.  February may be the first month in a trend toward Houston’s move to more normal market conditions in terms of where price class demand has historically been. 
  4. Days on the Market [DOM] – the time it takes on average to sell a single-family home in Houston declined 15% and is currently 82 DOM.  Hence, homes are selling faster than last year.
  5. Pending sales dropped 11% [an improvement from January’s 17%] for a total of 4,981 contracts written.
  6. Current listings are up 1% for a total single-family listing count of 27,978.

 

Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors® believes the housing market will pick up steam in March for 2 reasons:

  1. The IRS Home Buyer Tax Credit benefits both current homeowners as well as first-time home buyers and expires on April 30.  To see if you qualify, go to

 http://www.realtor.org/home_buyers_and_sellers/2009_first_time_home_buyer_tax_credit

   2.  Interest rates are at an all-time low and when these two benefits coincide, the result is a flurry of buying activity that will culminate before April comes to a close.

This will spark demand through April, but what about the rest of the year?  While Houston lost jobs in 2008-2009, most economic experts anticipate the job growth to return to pre-recession levels beginning this year and extending into the entire 2011.  Jobs, more so than tax credits and low interest rates are the biggest driver of home sales.

Previously, we mentioned the rise in upscale homes as a rationale for a rise in average and median price in the overall Houston market for January 2010.  These were attributable to only 22.15% of all sales in Houston.

 

What home price classes were the hottest selling in Houston through 2/ 2010? 

The following table indicates by price class the most homes that have sold year-to-date in Houston in 2010:         

 

Top Ten Selling Price Classes

Houston Single-Family Real Estate

The Year 2010

Price Class

Sales Year to Date

Active Listings

Months of Inventory

1. $200,000-$249,999

508

2,880

6.2

2  $250,000-$299,999

403

2,328

7.2

3. $300,000-$399,999

369

2,533

7.7

4. $120,000-$129,999

326

1,488

5.8

5. $110,000-$119,999

320

1,385

6.0

6. $130,000-$139,999

303

1,384

5.4

7. $80,000-$89,999

284

1,052

5.8

8. $140,000-$149,999

260

1,327

6.1

9. $90,000-$99,999

259

1,182

5.9

10$100,000-$109,999

257

841

4.4

 As you can see from the Top Ten Selling Price Classes in Houston for 2010 range from $80,000-$399,000. These price classes and homes priced up to $800,000 are expected to be hot in Houston at least through April 30.  Why?  The 2010 IRS Home Buyer Tax Credit expanded to include houses priced up to $800,000. 

To search for homes by price range, map and/or even foreclosures, go to www.GaryGreene.com.

Data provided by the Houston Association of Realtors® Multiple Listing Service, and The Real Estate Center for Texas A&M and written by Toni Nelson, Director of Strategic Initiatives for Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors®

 

 

                                    

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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March 16th, 2010

Housing Shortage Ahead?

 

Houstonians should look beyond the current economy to see what opportunities are ahead. During sluggish economic times, it is difficult to fathom what the future will bring.  However, David Crowe, Chief Economist for the National Association of Home Builders is predicting a severe housing shortage that will begin in the next 18 months and continue for a decade.  While his prediction may be slanted from a home builder industry perspective, the Harvard University’s Joint Center for Housing Studies has a similar prediction.

You can read more on these studies at:

The housing shortage prediction is based on

1.    Gen-Yer’s, 81 million strong, believe in homeownership and there are 5 million more than there were Boomers.  

2.    According to the National Association of Realtors®, 47% of home buyers in 2009 were first-time home buyers and they predict that in 2010, first-time home buyers will represent 52% of all homes sales.   The Gen-Yer’s housing impact has only just begun.

3.    According to their report, Harvard University’s Joint Center for Housing Studies anticipates household growth during the next 10 years to range between 12.5 million and 14.8 million. All those new households mean demand for many new housing units.   

4.    Bottom line, the number of homes being built simply is not enough to keep up with America’s growing population.

 Will the Greater Houston Metropolitan area be affected?

Houston’s median age is among the lowest of the nation’s major metropolitan areas.  The median age is 33.1. Almost one third of Houston’s population is Gen Y – 28.8% and 58% are of prime home buying age.  It’s estimated that 27.8% have college degrees – one of the highest in the nation.  Source:  Greater Houston Partnership – www.houston.org.

According to the Greater Houston Partnership, Houston is expected to see 1.9-2.7% GDP growth in 2010 and they anticipate Houston to be on the employment

upswing by 4th Quarter 2011. 

 

 

Thereafter, the metropolitan area should return to vigorous growth.

Our conclusion, based on current demographics, Houston’s growth predictions and the reduction in home building, is that Houston could very well face a housing shortage in the future.

 And right now home buyers can capitalize on

1.    A good selection of affordable homes

2.    The 2010 Homebuyer Tax Credit for First-Time and Current Homeowners

3.    Lower interest rates, which are expected to rise after the April 30th Tax Credit expires.

 

We invite you to conduct your own research on the best time to buy a home, but rarely in history have homes and the interest rates to buy them been “on sale”.  Waiting may prove to be very expensive indeed.

To search for homes or learn more about what your home is worth in todays’ market, go to www.garygreene.com.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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March 24th, 2010

REALTOR® Nationwide Open House Weekend April 10-11, 2010

 

Opportunity to showcase listings prior to the expiration of the homebuyer tax credit

Prudential Gary Greene, REALTORS® will join real estate professionals across the nation as part of the REALTOR® Nationwide Open House Weekend celebrated April 10 and 11 of this year. The National Association of REALTORS® encourages REALTORS® to participate in this campaign focused on increasing consumer awareness of the benefits of homeownership.  Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors® will showcase their inventory on Sunday, April 11 to draw attention to the many opportunities available in one of the best housing markets in the nation – Houston.  To view current listings and open houses, go to www.GaryGreene.com.

The Nationwide Open House Weekend will enable sellers to showcase their homes for sale and potential homebuyers to shop for a home while interest rates are low, home prices are affordable and before the April 30 deadline for the federal homebuyer tax credit.  The National Association of Realtors® will conduct a nationwide advertising campaign before the event to increase awareness, interest and traffic.

“For many people, now really is a good time to buy a home. Mortgage rates are still at historic lows,” said Toni Nelson, director of strategic initiatives for Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors®. “And first-time buyers have until April 30 to get up to an $8,000 tax credit while long-time homeowners may qualify for as much as $6,500 if they purchase their next primary residence before the deadline. The Open House weekend held in Houston on April 11 will create interest and attention among buyers and sellers.”

According to the Internal Revenue Service, buyers who wish to qualify for the tax credit must sign a contract to purchase a home on or before April 30, 2010, but they have until June 30, 2010 to close on the home. Income limitations apply and the home purchased must be used as a primary residence with a purchase price not to exceed $800,000.

Adds Nelson: “The tax credit will soon be gone.  Economists predict that home prices and interest rates will climb and with Houston’s growth predictions over the next 10 years, home prices are more likely to climb here than anywhere else.  Currently, Houston has an ample supply of homes from which to choose. So the timing of this Open House event is very important to help create awareness and also to capitalize on the tax credit while it is still attainable.”  For more information, read “Housing Shortage Ahead?” on www.GaryGreene.com/blog.

“While the tax credit has been a strong incentive for buyers, homeownership is an investment in your future offering tax benefits and long-term value over time,” said Nelson. 

There are many personal benefits to homeownership for sure; it’s the American Dream.  Few buyers know the economic impact that buying a home brings to their local community.  Economists have calculated that for every home purchase, no matter how small – an approximate $63,000 economic multiplier effect goes into the local economy.  There are also as many as 24 services used in the process of buying a home, which benefits local business.  The greatest contribution Americans can make to jump starting the economy is to buy a home. 

Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors® personally invites you to attend their Realtor® Nationwide Open House Event on April 11.  To view homes for sale or homes that will be held open, please go to www.GaryGreene.com.

 

 

 

 

 

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April 9th, 2010

Houston first-quarter real estate sales volume up 13%

 

First-quarter real estate sales indicate Houston has pulled out of a negative sales position and displays the beginning of very positive trends. The latest market metrics correlate very closely with news from the Texas Workforce Commission that Houston-area employers added 10,300 jobs from January to February, an increase of 2,000 real job gains than is atypical for the season.  Employment is the single largest driver of home sales.

Last year in February 2009, Houston experienced a 24% decline in year-to-date sales over 2008.  Every month following February, sales declines began to decline and the year ended with 7% fewer home sales than 2008. 

  1. First Quarter 2010 sales are equal to those found in First Quarter 2009 however,
  2. Dollar volume sales are up by 13% for a total of $2,183,412,127. 
  3. The average sales price is up 13% at $204,191 and the median sales price is up 8% at $149,900. 
  4. The average price per square foot is up 10% and now stands at $87. 
  5. Homes on the market are up by 3% with 28,793 listings, certainly not a supply that would impact home values.  The best news of all is that
  6. Days-on-Market, the average number of days it takes to sell a Houston home is down by 16%. Days-on-Market are 81.

Previously, we mentioned the rise in upscale homes as a rationale for a rise in average and median price in the overall Houston market during the First Quarter.  These were attributable to only 23% of all sales in Houston.

What home price classes were the hottest selling in Houston through First Quarter?  

The following table indicates by price class the hottest selling price ranges in Houston in 2010:

Top Ten Selling Price Classes

Houston Single-Family Real Estate

First Quarter 2010

Price Class

Sales Year to Date

Active Listings

Months of Inventory

1. $200,000-$249,999

1,028

3,078

6.5

2  $250,000-$299,999

750

2,495

7.6

3. $300,000-$399,999

722

2,759

8.2

4. $120,000-$129,999

591

1,575

6.1

5. $130,000-$139,999

575

1,502

5.8

6. $110,000-$119,999

573

1,448

6.2

7. $90,000-$99,999

509

1,251

6.1

8. $150,000-$159,999

500

1,391

6.3

9. $140,000-$149,999

486

1,454

6.6

10$80,000-$89,999

476

984

5.4

 As you can see from the Top Ten Selling Price Classes in Houston for 2010, hot selling prices ranged from $80,000-$399,000. These price classes are expected to be hot in Houston at least through June 30th because of the time-contingent 2010 IRS Home Buyer Tax Credit.  Setting aside this temporary demand incentive, these price classes are also more aligned with historical price class demand in Houston.

These attributes will spark demand through June, but what about the rest of the year?  While no one has an accurate crystal ball, Dr. Barton Smith of the UH Center for Public Policy remarked,” A year ago, I thought we’d be dragging behind the parade but we’re just not doing that.”

 

The year 2009 was a bleak year for the economy and residential real estate and first-quarter statistics indicate that we are moving toward a healthier economy and a more robust residential real estate market. Hallelujah Houston!

To search for homes by price range, map and/or even foreclosures, go to www.GaryGreene.com.

 

Data provided by the Houston Association of Realtors® Multiple Listing Service, and The Real Estate Center for Texas A&M and written by Toni Nelson, Director of Strategic Initiatives for Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors®

 
 
 
 
 

 

 

 

 

At first blush, these statistics seem strange. With the same number of homes selling as in the first quarter 2009, how do average and median sales prices of homes go up in comparison to 2009? The answer is in the price classes of homes that have closed this year.  In March, with similar experiences in January and February, home sales priced $250,000 and higher have experienced double-digit increases over 2009.  Single-digit increases occurred in the following price classes:

  • $150,000-$159,999
  • $140,000-$149,999
  • $  90,000-$  99,999

 

With the above three price class exceptions, all price classes below $250,000 experienced single to double-digit price declines.

 

At least for First Quarter 2010, there has been a resurgence in higher end housing demand and a decline in price classes below $250,000, with the three exceptions so noted.

Most notable of all price classes is the $800,000-$899,999 range which has experienced an 85% increase over last year.  The second highest demand increase [48%] has been in the $400,000-$499,000 range and the third highest increase [46%] in demand is $500,000-$599,999.

All sales in March priced over $249,999 represented only 23% of the total MLS homes sold in Houston, however their collective impact on average sales price and median sales price make it appear that there is home price appreciation in the Houston overall market.  Houston is so large, it is like a mosaic.  Some areas are shining brightly while others are not as lustrous.  For a breakdown of activity by area with a map, click here.

Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors® believes the housing market will pick up steam during the Spring selling season for 3 reasons:

 

 

 

 

 

  1. The Home Buyers Tax Credit benefits both current homeowners as well as first-time home buyers.  To qualify, a binding written contract must be in place by April 30th and the home must close by June 30th.  To see if you qualify, click here.
  2. Interest rates are at an all-time low and when these two benefits coincide, the result is a flurry of buying activity that will culminate in June.
  3. It appears employment in Houston is on the rise or showing more resilience than most economists predicted.
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April 20th, 2010

Houston – Best Place to Buy Real Estate Right Now!

 

If you want to invest in an area that has the greatest potential for job growth;  Houston is headquarters to 25 of the Fortune 500 companies. 

Texas and California are home to 57 Fortune 500 companies each, tops in the nation. Houston has 25 on this year’s list alone.  Last year, Texas boasted the most Fortune 500 companies within its state boundaries.

Read more on this phenomenon by clicking here.

If you want to invest in an area that has a rising population growth

The Institute for Regional Forecasting [IRF] predicts that 3.7 million people and 1.5 million jobs will be added to the eight-county Houston MSA over the next 25 years.  Additonally, Houston will experience a growth at 2.5 percent per year between now and 2020, increasing the population from its current 5.1 million to 7.4 million. 

At the same time, 700,000 jobs will be created in the area, according to the IRF annual long-term forecast.  By 2035, IRF estimates that the area will include four million jobs and 9.5 million people.  Houston will also continue to follow a decentralization trend, with suburban counties receiving a growing number of new jobs and population growth.  These counties have recently captured about 44 percent of all employment growth and 51 percent of all population growth.   For more on the story, click here

If you are looking for real estate with long term growth potential, look in the Houston MSA area.  To search for homes available in Houston and to find advice and counsel through a real estate professional, go to www.GaryGreene.com.

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May 11th, 2010

Single-family sales in Houston rise 27% in April

 

There is more blooming in Houston than just the azaleas and it’s all about real estate.  For the first time since 2008, Houston overall real estate metrics moved into powerfully positive territory.  Sales in April were up 27% and up 8% year-to-date.  There is no doubt that the Homebuyer Tax Credit deadline qualification which required a contract be in place by April 30 was a significant spark plug to April sales.

 Here is a table overview of the month and year-to-date:

 

April 2010

April 2010 YTD

 

 

Metric

 

 

Amount

% Change

From 4/09

 

 

Amount

%

Change

From

4/09 YTD

Sales

5,321

27%

16,019

8%

Dollar Volume Sold

 

$1,098,328,894

 

35%

 

$3,275,788,774

 

19%

Contracts written

 

3,893

 

23%

 

12,448

 

4%

# of Listings

30,186

9%

29,141

5%

Average Sales Price

 

$206,414

 

7%

 

$204,494

 

11%

Median Sales Price

 

$153,500

 

2%

 

$150,000

 

6%

 

 What a refreshing change for Houston residential real estate since last year both for the month and the year. The table also indicates that the next month may be just as healthy due to a 23% increase in contracts written in April.  This metric signifies current buyer demand and represents closings that will occur in the not too distant future.

 

What home price classes were the hottest selling in Houston through April YTD? 

The following table indicates by price class the top ten hottest selling price ranges in Houston in 2010:

 Ten Hottest Selling Price Classes

Houston Single-Family Real Estate

April YTD 2010

Price Class

Sales Year to Date

Active Listings

Months of Inventory

1. $200,000-$249,999

1,585

3,137

6.5

2  $250,000-$299,999

1,138

2,529

7.5

3. $300,000-$399,999

1,087

2,894

8.5

4. $120,000-$129,999

956

1,517

5.6

5. $130,000-$139,999

885

1,429

5.4

6. $110,000-$119,999

828

1,406

6.0

7. $150,000-$159,999

752

1,370

6.1

8. $90,000-$99,999

745

1,141

5.4

9. $140,000-$149,999

734

1,334

6.0

10$80,000-$89,999

711

944

5.0

  As you can see from the table above, Houston’s hottest selling home prices range from $80,000-$399,000.

The HIgh-End Market is Hot.
 
 The new 2010 paradigm in Houston’s hottest selling home prices is the high-end market.  All homes priced $200,000 and above have experienced double-digit increases in sales over last year. Contrary to norm, the higher the price class, the higher the percentage increase in sales.  Homes priced $800,000-$899,999 increased sales by 62% over last year, the highest percentage increase in sales of any price class.  Homes priced $1,000,000 or more are up 45% over last year. 

The Low-End Market is Not so Hot.

The other 2010 paradigm in Houston’s hottest selling prices is the low-end market.  Homes priced $70,000 and below are experiencing double-digit declines and the lower the price class, the higher the decline.  The greatest decline in homes sales by price class in Houston is in the $19,999 price class and below. It experienced a 30% decline over last year.

Average Sales Price vs. Median Sales Price

While most home sales this year occurred in the center of the price class spectrum, the double-digit increases from the high-end skew the average sales price in Houston higher.  The median sales price is the midpoint price where half the homes sold above and half sold below.  Median sales price year-to-date [$150,000] has increased by 6% which is a healthy increase and far more representative of the Houston area than an 11% increase in average sales price.

The Houston Metropolitan Statistical area covers over 10,000 square miles. Houston is so large, it is like a mosaic.  Some areas are shining brightly while others are not as lustrous.  For a breakdown of activity by area with a map of the area, go to http://garygreene.mediaroom.com/index.php?s=38&cat=14.

What about Houston’s future real estate prospects?

The short version is that Houston recorded 2.55 million payroll jobs in May 2009, more than the job counts of 29 U.S. states, including Arizona, Colorado and Alabama.  Jobs are the biggest driver of real estate sales in any community.  There has been some job attrition since that time but Houston’s future prospects are among the best in the nation.  For a more detailed analysis of Houston’s future in real estate, go to www.GaryGreene.com/blog and read the April 20th

article entitled: Houston, Best Place to Buy Real Estate Right Now.

To search for homes by price range, map and/or even foreclosures, go to www.GaryGreene.com.

Data provided by the Houston Association of Realtors® Multiple Listing Service, and The Real Estate Center for Texas A&M and written by Toni Nelson, Director of Strategic Initiatives for Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors®

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

April 2010

April 2010 YTD

 

 

Metric

 

 

Amount

% Change

From 4/09

 

 

Amount

%

Change

From

4/09 YTD

Sales

5,321

27%

16,019

8%

Dollar Volume Sold

 

$1,098,328,894

 

35%

 

$3,275,788,774

 

19%

Contracts written

 

3,893

 

23%

 

12,448

 

4%

# of Listings

30,186

9%

29,141

5%

Average Sales Price

 

$206,414

 

7%

 

$204,494

 

11%

Median Sales Price

 

$153,500

 

2%

 

$150,000

 

6%

 

What home price classes were the hottest selling in Houston through April YTD? 

The following table indicates by price class the ten hottest selling price ranges in Houston in 2010:

 

 Ten Hottest Selling Price Classes

Houston Single-Family Real Estate

April YTD 2010

Price Class

Sales Year to Date

Active Listings

Months of Inventory

1. $200,000-$249,999

1,585

3,137

6.5

2  $250,000-$299,999

1,138

2,529

7.5

3. $300,000-$399,999

1,087

2,894

8.5

4. $120,000-$129,999

956

1,517

5.6

5. $130,000-$139,999

885

1,429

5.4

6. $110,000-$119,999

828

1,406

6.0

7. $150,000-$159,999

752

1,370

6.1

8. $90,000-$99,999

745

1,141

5.4

9. $140,000-$149,999

734

1,334

6.0

10$80,000-$89,999

711

944

5.0

What a refreshing change for Houston residential real estate since last year both for the month and the year. The first table above indicates that the next month may be just as healthy due to a 23% increase in contracts written in April.  This metric signifies current buyer demand and represents closings that will occur some time in the future

 As you can see from the second table above, entitled TheTen Hottest Selling Price Classes in Houston April YTD 2010, the hottest selling prices range from $80,000-$399,000.

The High-End Market is Hot.

 

 What a refreshing change for Houston residential real estate since last year both for the month and the year. The table also indicates that the next month may be just as healthy due to a 23% increase in contracts written in April.  This metric signifies current buyer demand and represents closings that will occur in the not too distant future.

As you can see from the table above, Houston’s hottest selling home prices range from $80,000-$399,000.  

 

 

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May 27th, 2010

Houston: Model City

 

If you ever wondered how real estate will fare in Houston, Texas or which cities are positioned to thrive in the 21st Century, just read this fabulous article:  Click here.

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June 10th, 2010

Houston Homebuying Opportunity – Better Now Than with Tax Credit

 

Single-family sales in Houston Buoyed by Tax Credit

Houston single-family home sales in May increased by 19% with 5,693 homes sold.  While that is a very healthy increase over May of last year, contracts written tell an even more significant story.  There were 2,474 contracts written in May, which is down 20% from last year.  This indicates that the 2010 Tax Credit, [eligibility required a fully executed contract in place by April 30th]  brought home buying demand forward that may otherwise occur in May and June.  Year-to-date, the Houston real estate market is far ahead of last year – the only exception being a 1% decline in contracts written. 

 

Houston – Best Homebuying Opportunity is Now.

Who would have known?  Immediately following the buying flurry before the April 30th deadline, interest rates dropped dramatically in May, giving home buyers that were too late for the tax credit thousands of saved dollars over the life of a loan and dwarfing the tax credit incentive.  The Houston real estate market now has the best home buying opportunity not only due to lower interest rates but also, as you can see in the table below, more homes available from which to choose.  The 17% higher inventory is also a motivator for sellers’ to become more competitive in their asking price. 

Many economists agree that current positive economic indicators may cause the Fed to raise interest rates in the not too distant future.  Clearly, there is a window of opportunity in the market that savvy home buyers will capitalize on before it is too late.

 

Here is a table overview of the month and year-to-date:

Greater Houston MLS [HRIS] Single-Family Residential Real Estate

 

May 2010

May 2010 YTD

 

 

Metric

 

 

Amount

% Change

From 5/09

 

 

Amount

% Change

From

5/09

YTD

Sales

5,693

19%

21,750

11%

Dollar Volume Sold

 

$1,195,074,560

 

18%

 

$4,463,633,628

 

19%

Contracts

written

 

2,474

 

-20%

 

14,922

 

-1%

# of Listings

32,226

17%

29,758

7%

Average Sales Price

 

$209,920

 

-1%

 

$205,225

 

7%

Median Sales Price

 

$154,780

 

-1%

 

$150,070

 

3%

Contracts written for May 2010 indicate that closings next month most likely will decline.  Contracts written represent current buyer demand and is a precursor of closings that will occur in the next month or so. With fewer contracts written in the pipeline, fewer closings will occur in the future.

 

What home price classes are the hottest selling in Houston through May YTD? 

The following table indicates by price class the top ten hottest selling price ranges in Houston in 2010:

 

 Ten Hottest Selling Price Classes

Houston Single-Family Real Estate

May YTD 2010

Price Class

Sales Year to Date

Active Listings

Months of Inventory

1. $200,000-$249,999

2,147

3,401

7.0

2  $250,000-$299,999

1,561

2,640

7.7

3. $300,000-$399,999

1,487

3,072

8.9

4. $120,000-$129,999

1,297

1,654

5.9

5. $130,000-$139,999

1,221

1,597

5.9

6. $110,000-$119,999

1,160

1,538

6.3

7. $140,000-$149,999

1,059

1,414

6.1

8. $150,000-$159,999

1,034

1,450

6.4

9. $90,000-$99,999

982

1,274

6.1

10$80,000-$89,999

978

1,012

5.2

As you can see from the table above, Houston’s hottest selling home prices range from $80,000-$399,999.  What is also interesting to note is that the months of inventory, on even the hottest selling price classes has risen slightly from last month. This is once more an indication that sellers should stay tuned to activity in their market area, and consider price adjustments to stay competitive.

The High-End Market is Still Hot.

The 2010 paradigm in Houston’s hottest selling home prices is the high-end market.  Most price classes $80,000 and above have experienced double-digit increases in sales over last year. Contrary to norm, the higher the price class, the higher the percentage increase in sales, in most categories.  Homes priced $900,000-$999,999 are up in sales by 43% over last year, the highest increase in sales of any price class.  Homes priced $1,000,000 or more are up 40% over last year.  This represents an incredible comeback from a gloomy high-end market in 2009.

The Low-End Market is Not so Hot.

The other new 2010 paradigm in Houston’s hottest selling prices is the low-end market.  The majority of price classes $70,000 and below are experiencing double-digit declines.

Keep in mind that these statistics are sweeping generalities of a large major metropolitan market. The Houston Metropolitan Statistical area covers over 10,000 square miles. Houston is so large, it is like a mosaic.  Some areas are shining brightly while others are not as lustrous.  For a breakdown of activity by area with a map of the area, click here.

What about Houston’s future real estate prospects?

The short version is that Houston recorded 2.55 million payroll jobs in May 2009, more than the job counts of 29 U.S. states, including Arizona, Colorado and Alabama.  Jobs are the biggest driver of real estate sales in any community. While there is uncertainty out there now with the future of NASA  and the impact the B.P. oil spill will have on Houston, long-term future job prospects for Houston are one of the brightest in the nation.  For a more detailed analysis of Houston’s future in real estate, go to www.GaryGreene.com/blog and read the April 20th article entitled: Houston, Best Place to Buy Real Estate Right Now.

To search for homes by price range, map and/or even foreclosures, go to www.GaryGreene.com.

Data provided by the Houston Association of Realtors® Multiple Listing Service, and The Real Estate Center for Texas A&M and written by Toni Nelson, Director of Strategic Initiatives for Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors®

 

 
 
 
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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July 12th, 2010

Houston Single-Family Home Sales Up 9% Year-to-Date

 

Houston single-family home sales in June increased by 3% with 5,584 homes sold.  While that is a nice increase over June of last year, contracts written [a measure of current demand] are lagging somewhat.  There were 2,686 contracts written in June, which is down 19% from last year.  The 2010 Tax Credit, [eligibility required a fully executed contract in place by April 30th] brought home buying demand forward and it is difficult to measure how much influence this will have throughout the summer.  Year-to-date, the Houston real estate market is 9% ahead of last year.  

Houston – Best Homebuying Opportunity is Now.

Who would have known?  Immediately following the buying flurry up until the April 30th  Tax Credit deadline, interest rates dropped dramatically in May and June, giving home buyers that were too late for the tax credit thousands of saved dollars over the life of a loan.  These savings dwarfed the tax credit incentive.  The Houston real estate market now has the best home buying opportunity due to lower interest rates and more homes available from which to choose.  The 24% higher inventory is also a motivator for sellers’ to become more competitive in their asking price. 

Many economists agree that current positive economic indicators may cause the Fed to raise interest rates in the not too distant future.  Clearly, there is a window of opportunity savvy home buyers will recognize before interest rates change to a lesser advantage.

 

Here is a table overview of the month and year-to-date:

 

 

Greater Houston MLS [HRIS] Single-Family Residential Real Estate

 

June 2010

June 2010 YTD

 

 

Metric

 

 

Amount

% Change

From 6/09

 

 

Amount

% Change

From

6/09

YTD

Sales

5,584

3%

27,351

9%

Dollar Volume Sold

 

$1,243,930,928

 

4%

 

$5,695,171,720

 

15%

Contracts

written

 

2,686

 

-19%

 

17,608

 

-4%

# of Listings

34,625

24%

30,569

10%

Average Sales Price

 

$222,767

 

1%

 

$208,225

 

5%

Median Sales Price

 

$159,700

 

-3%

 

$152,000

 

1%

 

What home price classes are the hottest selling in Houston through June YTD? 

The following table indicates by price class the top ten hottest selling price ranges in Houston in 2010:

 Ten Hottest Selling Price Classes

Houston Single-Family Real Estate

June YTD 2010

Price Class

Sales Year to Date

Active Listings

Months of Inventory

1. $200,000-$249,999

2,683

3,649

7.6

2  $250,000-$299,999

1,961

2,766

8.1

3. $300,000-$399,999

1,933

3,270

9.5

4. $120,000-$129,999

1,582

1,835

6.6

5. $130,000-$139,999

1,504

1,701

6.3

6. $110,000-$119,999

1,453

1,656

6.7

7. $140,000-$149,999

1,307

1,553

6.7

8. $150,000-$159,999

1,266

1,590

7.0

9. $90,000-$99,999

1,263

1,484

6.9

10$80,000-$89,999

1,233

1,115

5.6

 The High-End Market is Still Hot.

The 2010 paradigm in Houston’s hottest selling home prices is the high-end market.  Most, but not all, price classes $80,000 and above have experienced double-digit increases in sales over last year. Contrary to norm, the higher the price class, the higher the percentage increase in sales, in most categories.  Homes priced $900,000-$999,999 are up in sales by 64% over last year, the highest increase in sales of any price class.  Homes priced $1,000,000 or more are up 23% over last year.  This represents an incredible comeback from a gloomy high-end market in 2009.

Highest % Increase in Sales by Price Class Year-to-Date

1.      $900,000-$999,999 up 64% year-to-date

2.      $600,000-$699,999 up 34% year-to-date

3.      $400,000-$499,999 up 30% year-to-date

4.      $500,000-$599,999 up 28% year-to-date

5.      $800,000-$899,999 up 26% year-to-date 

The Low-End Market is Not so Hot.

The other new 2010 paradigm in Houston’s hottest selling prices is the low-end market.  The majority of price classes $70,000 and below are experiencing double-digit declines.

Keep in mind that these statistics are sweeping generalities of a large major metropolitan market. The Houston Metropolitan Statistical area covers over 10,000 square miles. Houston is so large, it is like a mosaic.  Some areas are shining brightly while others are not as lustrous.  For a breakdown of activity by area with a map of the area, go to http://garygreene.mediaroom.com/index.php?s=38&cat=14.

What about Houston’s future real estate prospects?

The short version is that Houston recorded 2.55 million payroll jobs in May 2009, more than the job counts of 29 U.S. states, including Arizona, Colorado and Alabama.  Jobs are the biggest driver of real estate sales in any community. While there is uncertainty out there now with the future of NASA  and the impact the B.P. oil spill will have on Houston, long-term future job prospects for Houston are one of the brightest in the nation.  For a more detailed analysis of Houston’s future in real estate, go to www.GaryGreene.com/blog and read the April 20th article entitled: Houston, Best Place to Buy Real Estate Right Now.

To search for homes by price range, map and/or even foreclosures, go to www.GaryGreene.com.

Data provided by the Houston Association of Realtors® Multiple Listing Service, and The Real Estate Center for Texas A&M and written by Toni Nelson, Director of Strategic Initiatives for Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors®

 

 

 

 

As you can see from the table above, Houston’s hottest selling home prices range from $80,000-$399,999.  What is also interesting to note is that the months of inventory, on even the hottest selling price classes has risen slightly from last month. This is a strong indicator that sellers should stay tuned to activity in their market area, and consider price adjustments to stay competitive.

 

 

This table is a depiction of one of the healthiest markets in the United States.

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August 10th, 2010

Houston Single-Family Home Sales Up 3% Over Last Year

 

The Houston single-family real estate market is up 3% in closed sales as compared to last year.  Although the market is up from this time last year, July experienced a very sluggish home selling month

July single-family home sales declined by 25% from July 2009 and experienced 4,297 home sales.  This dramatic decline from June to July indicates that the 2010 Tax Credit, [eligibility required a fully executed contract in place by April 30th] brought home buying demand forward that may otherwise occur during the summer months. 

Paradoxically, immediately following the tax credit expiration, interest rates on mortgages declined dramatically.   Buying a home today, rather than before the tax credit expiration, will save a buyer thousands of dollars on a lower interest rate.  Savings over the life of the loan actually dwarfs the savings buyers received from a Tax Credit.  This is good news for anyone in the Houston area looking for a home.  There is a good supply of homes on the market and the interest rates are lower than have been experienced in decades.

 

Houston – one of the best employment performances in the nation.

 

According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Houston had the strongest employment gains in the nation during the past 5 years.  Houston added 129,000 new private sector jobs between June 2005 and June 2010.  At the same time, Houston suffered job losses, yet the Bayou City has added 31,000 jobs since January of this year.  Houston is far ahead of the rest of the nation in terms of jobs and job creation and the region appears to be climbing its way back to normal market conditions.  There is a direct correlation between jobs and the real estate market; as jobs increase, so does the demand for real estate.  

 

A snapshot view of metrics for the month and year-to-date can be found below.  July was a sluggish month in comparison to July 2009, yet year-to-date the statistics indicate this year is a stronger real estate year than 2009.

Here is a table overview of the month and year-to-date:

Greater Houston MLS [HRIS] Single-Family Residential Real Estate

 

July 2010

July 2010 YTD

 

 

Metric

 

 

Amount

% Change

From 6/09

 

 

Amount

% Change

From

7/09

YTD

Sales

4,297

-25%

31,624

3%

Dollar Volume Sold

 

$965,810,908

 

-23%

 

$6,638,644,482

 

7%

Contracts

written

 

2,762

 

-17%

 

20,370

 

-6%

# of Listings

34,625

24%

31,301

12%

Average Sales Price

 

$224,764

 

3%

 

$209,924

 

4%

Median Sales Price

 

$160,880

 

-1%

 

$153,000

 

1%

 

 

Sellers should stay tuned to their local market

 

In the last few months, Houston has experienced an inventory creep where more homes are coming on the market without a corresponding increase in buyer demand. While this gives buyers more to choose from, sellers should review their local market for what’s on the market versus how many homes are selling in various price ranges.  Agents at Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors® have a system that automatically generates the aforementioned market stats as well as current online buyer demand.  It enables a seller to analyze current sales and inventory but also how online buyer demand is trending.  The program e-mails each seller a daily update so he/she is aware of their current market’s local activity.  With information on hand, sellers can make quick adjustments to their marketing strategy that keep their home favorably positioned over the competition.  Contact any of our agents under the “Find an Agent” tab on www.GaryGreene.com to learn more about our Online Sellers’ Advantage program.

 

 

What home price classes are the hottest selling in Houston through July YTD? 

The following table indicates by price class the top ten hottest selling price ranges in Houston in 2010:

 Ten Hottest Selling Price Classes

Houston Single-Family Real Estate

June YTD 2010

Price Class

Sales YTD

Active Listings

Months of Inventory

1. $200,000-$249,999

3,137

3,719

8.0

2  $300,000-$399,999

2,297

3,245

9.6

3. $250,000-$299,999

2,272

2,874

8.7

4. $120,000-$129,999

1,826

1,887

7.0

5. $130,000-$139,999

1,705

1,738

6.6

6. $110,000-$119,999

1,672

1,743

7.2

7. $140,000-$149,999

1,488

1,734

7.8

8. $150,000-$159,999

1,445

1,643

7.6

9. $90,000-$99,999

1,424

1,497

7.2

10$80,000-$89,999

1,418

1,240

6.3

As you can see from the table above, Houston’s hottest selling home prices range from $80,000-$399,999.  What is also interesting to note is that the months of inventory, on even the hottest selling price classes has risen slightly every month since the Tax Credit expiration.  This is a strong indicator that sellers should stay tuned to activity in their market area, and consider price adjustments to stay competitive.

The High-End Market is Still Hot.

The 2010 paradigm in Houston’s hottest selling home prices is the high-end market.  Most price classes $80,000 and above have experienced single-digit increases in sales over last year.  As you can see from the table below, most price classes over $500,000 have experienced double-digit increases in sales over last year. Contrary to norm, the higher the price class in 2010, the higher the percentage increase in sales, in most categories.  Homes priced $900,000-$999,999 are up in sales by 33% over last year, the highest increase in sales of any price class.  Homes priced $1,000,000 or more are up 15% over last year.  This represents an incredible comeback from a gloomy high-end market in 2009.

Highest Price Class Increase Year-to-Date

1.      $900,000-$999,999 up 33% year-to-date

2.      $600,000-$699,999 up 22% year-to-date

3.      $400,000-$499,999 up 22% year-to-date

4.      $500,000-$599,999 up 17% year-to-date

5.      $1,000,000 or more up 15% year-to-date

6.      $800,000-$899,999 up 6% year-to-date

 

The Low-End Market is Not so Hot.

The other new 2010 paradigm in Houston’s hottest selling prices is the low-end market.  The majority of price classes $70,000 and below are experiencing single to double-digit declines.

Keep in mind that these statistics are sweeping generalities of a large major metropolitan market. The Houston Metropolitan Statistical area covers over 10,000 square miles. Houston is so large, it is like a mosaic.  Some areas are shining brightly while others are not as lustrous.  For a breakdown of activity by area with a map of the area, go to http://garygreene.mediaroom.com/index.php?s=38&cat=14.

View the Houston Hotness Index for July 2010 at http://media.garygreene.com/index.php?s=38&item=221

This table displays the hottest selling areas in Houston.  The hotness ratio is the current months “buyer demand” or pending sales as a percent of active listings.

To search for homes by price range, map and/or even foreclosures, go to www.GaryGreene.com.

 

It will be interesting to see what the last half of 2010 has in store for the real estate market.  No matter what, the Houston area will remain one of the top real estate markets in the nation and our economy is positioned to withstand the winds of change far better than any other region in the United States.

Data provided by the Houston Association of Realtors® Multiple Listing Service, and The Real Estate Center for Texas A&M and written by Toni Nelson, Director of Strategic Initiatives for Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors®

 

 

 

 

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September 12th, 2010

Houston Single-Family Market August YTD on Even Keel with 2009

 

The Houston single-family real estate market August YTD is even in closed sales in comparison to last year.  There have been 35,834  MLS recorded home sales year-to-date and that’s the exact same figure as last year.  Dollar volume year-to-date is up over last year by 4% and that contributed to an average sales price increase of 4%.  Median sales price remains flat from last year; $153,600.

 

Buying a home is a better bargain than before the tax credit expiration.  Interest rates have steadily declined since April 30th and savings over the life of the loan actually dwarfs the savings buyers received from a Tax Credit.  This is good news for anyone in the Houston area looking for a home.  There is a good supply of homes on the market and the interest rates are lower than have been experienced in decades.

 

Houston – impacted by national uncertainty.

 

According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Houston had the strongest employment gains in the nation during the past 5 years.  Houston added 129,000 new private sector jobs between June 2005 and June 2010.  At the same time, Houston suffered job losses, yet the Bayou City has added 31,000 jobs since January of this year.  With so many national issues in the air - health care, the pending expiration of the Bush tax cuts, Cap and Trade?, what taxes will be levied, etc., there is a cloud of uncertainty over our economic future.  These times make it difficult for people to feel good about long term investments.  Real estate in Houston is positioned to spring back faster than other regions when businesses and consumers feel more confident about the future.

 

A snapshot view of metrics for the month and year-to-date can be found below. 

 

Greater Houston MLS [HRIS] Single-Family Residential Real Estate

 

August 2010

August 2010 YTD

 

 

Metric

 

 

Amount

% Change

From 8/09

 

 

Amount

% Change

From

8/09

YTD

Sales

4,180

-17%

35,834

0%

Dollar Volume Sold

 

$905,061,960

 

-15%

 

$7,542,679,578

 

4%

Contracts

written

 

2,741

 

-17%

 

23,111

 

-8%

# of Listings

35,437

28%

31,818

14%

Average Sales Price

 

$216,522

 

2%

 

$210,489

 

4%

Median Sales Price

 

$159,000

 

-1%

 

$153,600

 

0%

 

Sellers should stay tuned to their local market

 

In the last few months, Houston has experienced an inventory creep where more homes are coming on the market without a corresponding increase in buyer demand. While this gives buyers more to choose from, sellers should review their local market for what’s on the market versus how many homes are selling in various price ranges.  Agents at Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors® have a system that automatically generates the aforementioned market stats as well as current online buyer demand.  It enables a seller to analyze current sales and inventory but also how online buyer demand is trending.  The program e-mails each seller a daily update so he/she is aware of their current market’s local activity.  This enables sellers to make quick adjustments to their marketing strategy so that their home can remain favorably positioned over the competition.  Contact any of our agents under the “Find an Agent” tab on click here to learn more about our Online Sellers’ Advantage program.

 

 

What home price classes are the hottest selling in Houston through August YTD? 

The following table indicates by price class the top ten hottest selling price ranges in Houston in 2010:

 Ten Hottest Selling Price Classes

Houston Single-Family Real Estate

August YTD 2010

Price Class

Sales YTD

Active Listings

Months of Inventory

1. $200,000-$249,999

3,565

3,706

8.2

2  $300,000-$399,999

2,615

3,175

9.6

3. $250,000-$299,999

2,595

2,809

8.6

4. $120,000-$129,999

2,042

1,897

7.1

5. $130,000-$139,999

1,908

1,783

7.1

6. $110,000-$119,999

1,672

1,743

7.2

7. $140,000-$149,999

1,673

1,661

7.6

8. $150,000-$159,999

1,632

1,664

7.9

9. $80,000-$89,999

1,616

1,274

6.4

10$90,000-$99,999

1,614

1,555

7.5

Houston’s hottest selling home prices range from $80,000-$399,999.  What is also interesting to note is that the months of inventory, on even the hottest selling price classes has risen slightly every month since the Tax Credit expiration.  This is a strong indicator that sellers should stay tuned to activity in their market area, and consider price adjustments to stay competitive.

The High-End Market is Still Hot.

One anomaly Houston’s hottest selling home prices is the high-end market.  As you can see from the list below, most price classes over $400,000 have experienced double-digit increases in sales over last year. Contrary to norm, the higher the price class in 2010, the higher the percentage increase in sales, in most categories.  Homes priced $900,000-$999,999 are up in sales by 52% over last year, the highest increase in sales of any price class.  Homes priced $1,000,000 or more are up 9% over last year. 

Highest Price Class Increase Year-to-Date

1.      $900,000-$999,999 up 52% year-to-date

2.      $600,000-$699,999 up 19% year-to-date

3.      $400,000-$499,999 up 19% year-to-date

4.      $500,000-$599,999 up 14% year-to-date

5.      $1,000,000 or more up 9% year-to-date

6.      $800,000-$899,999 up 2% year-to-date

 

The Low-End Market is Not so Hot.

Another unusual 2010 statistic regarding Houston’s hottest selling prices is the low-end market.  The majority of price classes below $80,000 are experiencing single to double-digit declines.

Keep in mind that these statistics are sweeping generalities of a large major metropolitan market. The Houston Metropolitan Statistical area covers over 10,000 square miles. Houston is so large, it is like a mosaic.  Some areas are shining brightly while others are not as lustrous.  For a breakdown of activity by area with a map of the area, click here.

View the Houston Hotness Index for August 2010 by clicking here. 

This table displays the hottest selling areas in Houston.  The hotness ratio is the current months “buyer demand” or pending sales as a percent of active listings.

To search for homes by price range, map and/or even foreclosures, click here.

 

It will be interesting to see what the last half of 2010 has in store for the real estate market.  November elections may increase confidence in the nations’ future.  No matter what, the Houston area will remain one of the top real estate markets in the nation and our economy is positioned to withstand the winds of change far better than any other region in the United States.

Data provided by the Houston Association of Realtors® Multiple Listing Service, and The Real Estate Center for Texas A&M and written by Toni Nelson, Director of Strategic Initiatives for Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors®

 

 

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October 12th, 2010

Houston Tops Nation in Home Price Appreciation

 

According to a new report by Veros Real Estate Solutions, Houston is expected to post the nation’s strongest home price appreciation over the next year.  VeroFORECAST states that Houston’s relatively low unemployment – 8.7% in August-contributed to the city showing an increase in home prices in the third quarter and that trend should only continue.  Houston will help Texas lead the nation in terms of home price appreciation over the next 12 months.

 

September single-family statistics supports that the study has merit.  Even with the current multi-faceted national economic uncertainty, and the lackluster sales month Houston experienced in September, the region seems to possess remarkable resilience in retaining median sales price and raising the average sales price.  If the country can move to more certain times for business and consumers, Houston home sales will rise first, if the historic low interest rates remain, even temporarily.   The statistics below aren’t pretty but we forget how lucky we are to be in Houston, where it doesn’t get any better than this.

Here is a table depiction overview of the month and year-to-date:

 

September 2010

September 2010 YTD

 

 

Metric

 

 

Amount

% Change

From 9/09

 

 

Amount

%

Change

From

9/09 YTD

Sales

3,903

-19%

39,796

-2%

Dollar Volume Sold

 

 

$840,120,750

 

 

-15%

 

 

$8,390,322,129

 

 

2%

Contracts written

 

2,514

 

-18%

 

25,625

 

-9%

# of Listings

34,509

26%

32,117

15%

Average Sales Price

 

$215,250

 

5%

 

$210,833

 

4%

Median Sales Price

 

$156,250

 

0%

 

$154,000

 

0%

  Houston has the second largest land mass in the United States.  It has many submarkets that look entirely different from the above overall market. For the hottest areas in September, CLICK HERE. For a breakdown of activity by area with a map, CLICK HERE.

Upscale homes have been least affected by the current market.  Home sales priced $400,000 and above have experienced double digit increases in sales over last year.  The exception to this rule is the $700,000-$799,999 price class and the $800,000-$899,999.  These price classes have increased 1% and 7% respectively.  The largest increase in upscale price class has been $900,000-$999,999.  This price class has experienced a whopping 49% increase since last year.

What home price classes were the hottest selling in Houston through Third Quarter? 

The following table indicates by price class the hottest selling price classes in Houston through September 30, 2010:

 

Top Ten Selling Price Classes

Houston Single-Family Real Estate

Third Quarter 2010

Price Class

Sales Year to Date

Active Listings

Months of Inventory

1. $200,000-$249,999

3,966

3,609

8.1

2  $300,000-$399,999

2,937

2,963

9.1

3. $250,000-$299,999

2,844

2,694

8.5

4. $120,000-$129,999

2,229

1,853

7.2

5. $130,000-$139,999

2,105

1,686

6.8

6. $110,000-$119,999

2,034

1,704

7.3

7.     $90,000-$99,999

1,758

1,521

7.5

8. $140,000-$149,999

1,854

1,637

7.7

9. $150,000-$159,999

1,803

1,596

7.8

10    $80,000-$89,999

1,787

1,273

6.5

 As you can see from the Top Ten Selling Price Classes in Houston for 2010, hot selling prices ranged from $80,000-$399,000. Months of Inventory have gone up in Houston with every month since April 30th; the last date of the Homebuyer Tax Credit .

To search for homes by price range, map and/or even foreclosures, CLICK HERE

Based on the projections by Veros Real Estate Solutions and the statistics herein that support their findings, Houston is the strongest market in the nation in terms of home price appreciation.  It is expected to see a 3.8% increase in home prices over the next year, more than any other U.S. city.  When it comes to investing in real estate, the Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown market is the first one to consider.

 

Data provided by the Houston Association of Realtors® Multiple Listing Service, and The Real Estate Center for Texas A&M and written by Toni Nelson, Director of Strategic Initiatives for Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors®

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November 10th, 2010

Houston calm before the storm

 

It is rather calm here in the last quarter of 2010 but future growth predictions for Houston indicate it’s a calm before a storm. 

n      The Institute for Regional Forecasting (IRF) predicts that

n      3.7 million people and

n      1.5 million jobs will be added to the eight-county Houston MSA over the next 25 years.

n      Houston will experience a growth at

n      2.5 percent per year between now and 2020,

n       The population is predicted to grow to 7.4 million.

n      At the same time, about 700,000 jobs will be created in the area, according to the IRF annual long-term forecast.

 

According to a new report by Veros Real Estate Solutions, Houston is expected to post the nation’s strongest home price appreciation over the next year.  Houston will help Texas lead the nation in terms of home price appreciation over the next 12 months.

 

As forecasters often say, demography is destiny and Houston is home to 38 top-ranked companies according to Forbes.  What you currently have in demography tends to grow stronger over time. 

 

Despite the lack luster month, the region seems to possess remarkable resilience in retaining median sales price and raising the average sales price.  The statistics below aren’t pretty but we forget how lucky we are to be in Houston, where it doesn’t get any better than this.

Here is a table depiction overview of the month and year-to-date:

 

October 2010

October 2010 YTD

 

 

Metric

 

 

Amount

% Change

From 9/09

 

 

Amount

%

Change

From

9/09 YTD

Sales

3,739

-23%

43,593

-4%

Dollar Volume Sold

 

 

$779,428,201

 

 

-19%

 

 

$9,173,236,739

 

 

-1%

Contracts written

 

2,374

 

-22%

 

27,999

 

-10%

# of Listings

33,641

24%

32,269

16%

Average Sales Price

 

$208,459

 

6%

 

$210,429

 

4%

Median Sales Price

 

$150,000

 

1%

 

$153,500

 

0%

 

Houston has many submarkets that look entirely different from the above overall market. For the hottest areas in October, click here .

For a breakdown of activity by area with a map, click here. 

Upscale homes have been least affected by the current market.  Home sales priced $400,000 and above have experienced increases in sales over last year.

Homes priced $900,000-$999,999 have experienced a whopping 40% increase since last year.  Homes priced $1,000,000 and more are up 9% in sales over this time last year.

 

What home price classes were the hottest selling in Houston October YTD? 

The following table indicates by price class the hottest selling price ranges in Houston through October YTD 2010:

 

Top Ten Selling Price Classes

Houston Single-Family Real Estate

October YTD 2010

Price Class

Sales Year to Date

Active Listings

Months of Inventory

1. $200,000-$249,999

4,350

3,531

8.1

2  $300,000-$399,999

3,222

2,883

8.8

3. $250,000-$299,999

3,124

2,602

8.3

4. $120,000-$129,999

2,429

1,755

7.0

5. $130,000-$139,999

2,308

1,682

7.0

6. $110,000-$119,999

2,187

1,702

7.6

7. $140,000-$149,999

2,010

1,606

7.9

8. $150,000-$159,999

1,970

1,501

7.5

9.     $80,000-$89,999

1,969

1,254

6.4

10.$100,000-$109,999

1,818

1,174

6.2

 As you can see from the Top Ten Selling Price Classes in Houston for 2010, hot selling prices ranged from $80,000-$399,000.

Months of Inventory have gone up in Houston with every month since April 30th; the last date of the Homebuyer Tax Credit.  Houston is currently in a buyers’ market with a good supply of homes in almost every price range and 30-year interest rates currently at 4.25%.  It’s a great time to buy a home in Houston.

To search for homes by price range, map and/or even foreclosures, click here.

 

In conclusion, based on the projections by Veros Real Estate Solutions and the statistics herein that support their findings, Houston is the strongest market in the nation in terms of home price appreciation.  It is expected to see a 3.8% increase in home prices over the next year, more than any other U.S. city.  When it comes to investing in real estate, the Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown market is the first one to consider.

 

Data provided by the Houston Association of Realtors® Multiple Listing Service, and The Real Estate Center for Texas A&M and written by Toni Nelson, Director of Strategic Initiatives for Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors®

 

 

 

 

 

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December 10th, 2010

Houston Real Estate Market Retains Sales Price Resilience

 

As I compose this update to the Houston real estate market, Congress is still haggling over an extension of the Bush tax cuts.  Right now, the most important ingredient to an improving economy and a growing housing market can be summed up in one word; certainty.  People and businesses need more certainty.  If businesses know their tax obligations and individuals can feel more certain about their long-term job prospects, it would jumpstart the economy.  Let’s hope Congress acts in a manner that stimulates business investment and more jobs get created as a result.

 

November was a lack luster month for real estate in Houston and the nation.  However, the Houston region seems to possess a remarkable resilience in retaining median sales price and raising the average sales price.  Average sales prices, despite lagging sales are up 4% for the year and median sales prices are up by 2% for the month and are even year-to-date with last year.

 

Here is a table depicting market activity in the Houston region for single-family homes for the month and year-to-date:

 

November 2010

November  2010 YTD

 

 

Metric

 

 

Amount

% Change

From 9/09

 

 

Amount

%

Change

From

9/09 YTD

Sales

3,549

-22%

43,593

-4%

Dollar Volume Sold

 

 

$779,218,440

 

 

-13%

 

 

$9,173,236,739

 

 

-1%

Contracts written

 

2,163

 

-6%

 

27,999

 

-10%

# of Listings

32,684

20%

32,269

16%

Average Sales Price

 

$219,560

 

12%

 

$210,429

 

4%

Median Sales Price

 

$152,500

 

2%

 

$153,500

 

0%

 

 

 

Houston has many submarkets that look entirely different from the above overall market. For the hottest areas in November, CLICK HERE.

.

For a breakdown of activity by area with a map, CLICK HERE

 

Upscale homes have been least affected by the current market.  Home sales priced $400,000 and above have experienced increases in sales over last year.

Homes priced $900,000-$999,999 have experienced a whopping 40% increase since last year.  Homes priced $1,000,000 and more are up 9% in sales over this time last year.

 

What home price classes were the hottest selling in Houston November YTD? 

The following table indicates by price class the hottest selling price ranges in Houston through November YTD 2010:

 

Top Ten Selling Price Classes

Houston Single-Family Real Estate

November YTD 2010

Price Class

Sales Year to Date

Active Listings

Months of Inventory

1. $200,000-$249,999

4,719

3,359

7.9

2  $300,000-$399,999

3,482

2,765

8.6

3. $250,000-$299,999

3,385

2,543

8.2

4. $120,000-$129,999

2,637

1,682

7.0

5. $130,000-$139,999

2,468

1,626

7.2

6. $110,000-$119,999

2,360

1,699

7.9

7. $140,000-$149,999

2,143

1,576

8.1

8. $80,000-$89,999

2,131

1,279

6.6

9. $150,000-$159,999

2,115

1,417

7.3

10.$90,000-$99,999

2,083

1,532

8.0

 

One encouraging change noted from last month; many price classes experienced a drop in active listings and “Months of Inventory” from last month.  This may be the harbinger of slow improvement as we enter the new year.

As you can see from the Top Ten Selling Price Classes in Houston for 2010, hot selling prices ranged from $80,000-$399,000.

Houston is currently in a buyers’ market with a good supply of homes in almost every price range and 30-year interest rates remain at 4.75%..  It’s a great time to buy a home in Houston.

To search for homes by price range, map and/or even foreclosures, CLICK HERE.

 

In conclusion, based on the projections by Veros Real Estate Solutions and the statistics herein that support their findings, Houston is the strongest market in the nation in terms of home price appreciation.  It is expected to see a 3.8% increase in home prices over the next year, more than any other U.S. city.  When it comes to investing in real estate, the Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown market is the first market to consider.

 

Data provided by the Houston Association of Realtors® Multiple Listing Service, and The Real Estate Center for Texas A&M and written by Toni Nelson, Director of Strategic Initiatives for Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors®

 

 

 

 

 

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January 13th, 2011

2010 Houston Real Estate from the Rear View Mirror

 

Most people involved in the real estate sector of the economy were very thankful to see 2010 in their rear view mirror!  As we drive into a New Year, there is more hope in the air and a better outlook for the future. 

 

As Mike Inselmann quoted about Houston, “You just can’t keep a good city down.” The Houston region seems to possess a remarkable resilience in home price values.  Despite fewer sales, Houston experienced a 1% increase in median sales price and a 4% rise in average sales prices.  When you see the national declines, Houstonians are very fortunate indeed.

 

Here is a table depicting market activity in the Houston region for single-family homes for the month and year-to-date:

 

December 2010

December  2010 YTD

 

 

Metric

 

 

Amount

% Change

From 12/09

 

 

Amount

%

Change

From

12/09 YTD

Sales

4,301

-4%

51,428

-6%

Dollar Volume Sold

 

 

$953,157,513

 

 

-2%

 

 

$10,890,629,596

 

 

-2%

Contracts written

 

2,331

 

3%

 

32,493

 

-9%

# of Listings

30,981

19%

32,269

17%

Average Sales Price

 

$221,613

 

2%

 

$211,765

 

4%

Median Sales Price

 

$157,500

 

4%

 

$153,990

 

1%

 Houston has many submarkets that look entirely different from the above overall market. For the hottest areas in December, click here. For a breakdown of activity by area with a map, click here. 

What was the hottest single-family transaction in 2010?

In one word – it was rentals.  In 2010, there were 21,633 single-family rentals, which is up by 13% from 2009.  The average single-family rental price was $1472 [the same average rental price as last year] and the median single-family rental price was $1300 [the same median rental price as last year].  This clearly indicates there is plenty of pent-up demand in Houston for home buying. The housing market is poised for growth when tenants feel more certainty in their jobs, have built a good credit rating and interest rates continue to rise.

 

Positive Single-Family Home Sales in 2010

 

Upscale homes have been least affected by the current market.  Home sales priced $400,000 and above have experienced increases in sales over last year.

Homes priced $600,000-$699,999 experienced a 23% increase in sales; $900,000-$999,999 experienced a whopping 36% increase since last year.  Homes priced $1,000,000 and more are up 12% in sales over this time last year.

 

What home price classes were the hottest selling in Houston for the year 2010? 

The following table indicates by price class the hottest selling price ranges in Houston:

Top Ten Selling Price Classes

Houston Single-Family Real Estate

 2010

Price Class

Sales Year to Date

Active Listings

Months of Inventory

1. $200,000-$249,999

5,155

3,061

7.2

2  $300,000-$399,999

3,814

2,582

8.1

3. $250,000-$299,999

3,707

2,351

7.6

4. $120,000-$129,999

2,856

1,620

6.8

5. $130,000-$139,999

2,666

1,515

6.8

6. $110,000-$119,999

2,557

1,579

7.4

7. $150,000-$159,999

2,316

1,338

6.9

8. $80,000  -$89,999

2,312

1,279

6.6

9. $140,000-$149,999

2,304

1,430

7.4

10.$90,000-$99,999

2,263

1,477

7.8

 To search for homes by price range, map and/or even foreclosures, click here

In conclusion, based on the projections by Veros Real Estate Solutions and the statistics herein that support their findings, Houston is the strongest market in the nation in terms of home price appreciation.  It is expected to see a 3.8% increase in home prices over the next year, more than any other U.S. city.  When it comes to investing in real estate, the Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown market is the first market to consider.

 

Data provided by the Houston Association of Realtors® Multiple Listing Service, and The Real Estate Center for Texas A&M and written by Toni Nelson, Director of Strategic Initiatives for Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors®

.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

One very hopeful metric on the above table is “Contracts Written”. This indicates contracts written during the month of December were up by 3% from last December.   This means more closing volume will occur in January or February 2011 than was coming into the New Year 2010.  This is perhaps a harbinger of better things to come.

As you can see from the Top Ten Selling Price Classes in Houston for 2010, the hottest number of home sales ranged in selling prices from $80,000-$399,000.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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February 9th, 2011

Houston Real Estate Experiences Positive January Home Sales

 

 

Consumers show more confidence in the economy and job market.

Now that 2010 is in our rear view mirror, we can review the first months’ statistics in the Houston Multiple Listing Service and get a feel for what kind of year 2011 will be for real estate.  It is a refreshing change from anything found in 2010.  Here is a summary by metrics:

 

Houston MLS Single-Family Real Estate

January 2011

 

 

Metric

 

 

Amount

% Change

From 1/10

Sales

2,766

8%

Dollar Volume Sold

 

$544,567,314

 

10%

Contracts

written

 

2,478

 

8%

# of Listings

31,232

14%

Average Sales Price

 

$196,879

 

2%

Median Sales Price

 

$139,000

 

-3%

 

All indicators point to a better year. Almost every single-family market metric is positive.  One really high note is “Contracts Written”.  It is up by 8% and this indicates closed sales in February will be as high as those found this month. Median sales price, contrary to other statistics on the table is down by 3%.  In reviewing home sales by price class for the month, median sales price declines are due primarily to single-family home sales occurring across a broader spectrum of price classes than occurred in 2010.  In January 2010, all price classes over $500,000 experienced double-digit increases yet at the same time, single-family price classes below $200,000 experienced declines.  In many cases, those declines were in the double-digits. 

In January 2011, more positive increases occurred across the entire price class spectrum rather than being weighted toward any price class extreme.  Since median price is the midpoint price where half the homes sold above and half sold below, a decline in median sales price for this January does not appear to be a trend, but rather an adjustment in price class demand from one year to another.

 

The broader spectrum of demand in price class for January 2011 is also a good indicator of consumer confidence.  It signifies more confidence in the economy and the job market across a broader spectrum of our population and that is good news for everyone.

Ten Hottest Selling Price Classes

Houston Single-Family Real Estate

January YTD 2011

Price Class

Sales Year to Date

Active Listings

Months of Inventory

1. $200,000-$249,999

226

3,116

7.2

2  $300,000-$399,999

194

2,610

8.2

3. $250,000-$299,999

173

2,368

7.7

4. $70,000-$79,999

158

1,101

7.0

5. $120,000-$129,999

149

1,550

6.5

6. $80,000-$89,999

144

1,252

6.5

7. $90,000-$99,999

137

1,473

7.7

8. $110,000-$119,999

132

1,646

7.7

9. $130,000-$139,999

130

1,548

7.0

10$150,000-$159,999

121

1,294

6.6

  Most price classes “Months of Inventory” place the price class in a buyers’ market with plenty of inventory in all high demand price classes. This added together with some of the lowest interest rates in modern history, it’s a great time to buy a home in Houston, Texas.  It will be interesting to note as we enter higher demand months in Spring and Summer, how the trend continues.

 

High-end home sales facts by price class for January 2011:  

  • 0% change in home sales in $500,000-$699,999 price class
  • 70% increase in homes sales in $700,000-$799,999 price class
  • 23% decline in home sales in $800,000-$899,999 price class
  • 0% change in home sales in $900,000-$999,999 price class
  • 94% increase in home sales in $1,000,000 and over price class. 

Houston real estate by area and hotness:

All real estate is hyper-local and Houston is so large, it is like a mosaic.  Some areas are shining brightly while others are not as lustrous.  For a breakdown of activity by area with a map, CLICK HERE.

You can also assess how hot your area is in comparison to other areas in the Houston market by CLICKING HERE

To search for homes by price range, map and/or even foreclosures, CLICK HERE. 

Date provided by the Houston Association of Realtors® Multiple Listing Service,[HRIS] and The Real Estate Center for Texas A&M and written by Toni Nelson, Director of Strategic Initiatives for Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors®

 

 

 

 

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March 10th, 2011

Houston Real Estate Market Still Positive February YTD

 

January 2011 brought new energy and hope to Houston home sales. The January metrics even indicated that future buyer demand [contracts pending] would remain in positive territory, at least for the next month.  Paradoxically, February saw a 2% drop in home sales over February last year and a 4% drop in contracts pending.  While the month represented a setback in sales, it was not enough to knock year-to-date sales out of positive territory.  Year-to-date through February, homes sales are up in Houston by 2% with 6,030 home sales; contracts pending are up by 1% with 5,040 contracts written year-to-date. Contracts written are contracts scheduled to close sometime in the near future.  When comparing this year to last year, remember that last year the 2010 IRS Tax Credit represented a huge economic stimulus to both first-time and current homeowners. There are no stimulus incentives this year.

 

Even though there is no economic stimulus in effect, Houstons’ average sales price is up 4% year-to-date and median sales price is even with this time last year.  Almost any city in the nation would envy Houston’s ability to retain home values and Houston has maintained its home values throughout the recession and current recovery.

Houston Real Estate Information Services [MLS]

February YTD 2011 vs. February YTD 2010

 

Measurement

 

Amount

% change

from 2010

# of sales

6,030

2%

Dollar volume

$1,239,135,603

6%

Average sales price

$205,495

4%

Median sales price

$145,000

0%

Contracts written

5,040

1%

# of active listings

31,309

12%

 

 

As noted in the table above, there are no metrics in negative territory thus far this year.  Months Inventory, which is the time it would take to deplete the current supply of homes at the current rate of demand is creeping up to 6.5 – 8 months.  This indicates that it is obviously a buyers’ market.  March, a month that jump starts the sales season, will be a good indicator of whether or not more homes get absorbed at a faster rate.  It will be interesting to see which direction the median sales price moves from its current balanced position.

 

The Price Class Spectrum Impact

The average sales price is 4% higher than the median due to double-digit increases in sales in the high end.  Unlike last year, homes at the lower end of the spectrum, those $70,000 and below are experiencing double-digit increases also.  Most notable of all price class sales increases is the

  • $700,000-$799,999 range which has experienced a 65% increase over last year. 
  • The second highest demand increase [33%] has been in the $900,000-$999,000 range and
  • the third highest increase [27%] in demand is $500,000-$599,999.
  • Homes priced $1 million and over are up 23% from 2010.

 

All sales through February year-to-date priced $500,000 and above represent only 5.77% of the total units sold in Houston, however their collective impact on average sales price make it appear as if there is home price appreciation in the Houston overall market.  Median sales price tells the real story.  Median price is the midpoint where half the homes sell above and half sell below. It has not changed in comparison to February YTD last year. 

What home price classes were the hottest selling in Houston YTD through 2/ 2011? 

 

Top Ten Selling Price Classes

Houston Single-Family Real Estate

February YTD 2011

Price Class

Sales Year to Date

Active Listings

Months of Inventory

1. $200,000-$249,999

502

3,164

7.4

2  $300,000-$399,999

457

2,652

8.2

3. $250,000-$299,999 

409

2,410

7.8

4. $120,000-$129,999

309

1,554

6.6

5. $110,000-$119,999

295

1,385

6.0

6. $80,000-$89,999

283

1,252

6.5

7. $70,000-$79,999

282

1,027

6.5

8. $110,000-$119,999

256

1,156

6.5

9. $140,000-$149,999

256

1,424

7.5

10$130,000-$139,999

250

1,439

6.7

As you can see from the Top Ten Selling Price Classes in Houston for 2011, homes priced from $70,000-$399,000 represent the greatest amount of buyer demand. These price classes represent 55% of all sales that have occurred in Houston year-to-date.

The Houston overall market is so large and rarely reflects the same trends as a submarket area located within its boundaries.  Some areas are shining brightly while others are not as lustrous.  For a breakdown of activity by area with a map, click here

To search for homes by price range, map and/or even foreclosures, click here.

Data provided by the Houston Association of Realtors® Multiple Listing Service, and The Real Estate Center for Texas A&M and written by Toni Nelson, Director of Strategic Initiatives for Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors®

 

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April 11th, 2011

Houston real estate lag is on its way out!

 

In the First Quarter of 2011, the Houston residential single-family market is 1% below the same number of sales in comparison to First Quarter last year.  It has exceeded the 2010 First Quarter in dollar volume sold, average sales price and # of homes on the market.  The First Quarter of last year had the advantage of an economic stimulus, the Homebuyers’ Tax Credit.  Lacking the same incentive, a 1% decline in number of sales for the First Quarter 2011 is a much better performance than expected.

Recent news about the economy indicates the current lag is on its way out in Houston.

·        The situation in the Middle East has raised safety concerns for energy companies with a presence there, prompting some to move employees back to Houston; according to HoustonRealEstateObserver.com.  This means many employees will be returning to Houston.

·        Houston commercial Realtors® have experienced an increase in Houston leasing activity — spurred not only by events in the Middle East, but by the recent resumption of Gulf drilling.  It has caused CBRE to rework its office vacancy projections for downtown Houston. Last year, the company projected the vacancy rate could go as high as 16 percent. “We’re optimistic that things won’t get as bad as we predicted,” Charles Gordon, executive vice president of CB Richard Ellis in Houston, said. “We are revising those numbers based on a lot of deals that are happening right now.”

·        Finally, more good news. Texas housing markets are among the healthiest for home building, according to Hanley Wood Market Intelligence. The firm’s Builder Market Health Index gives many Texas MSAs a market health indicator well above 50 out of 100 (50 being the minimum to be considered healthy). Austin-Round Rock had a score of 86.5.  Houston-Sugar Land-Baytown scored a 77.3; the second highest in Texas.

First Quarter Single-Family Houston Home Sales
Year-to-date through March, homes sales are down in Houston by 1% with 10,675 home sales; yet contracts written are equal to First Quarter 2010 and Houston has experienced 8,556 contracts written year-to-date. Contracts written are contracts scheduled to close in the future and indicate current buyer demand. Since the number of contracts written First Quarter of this year and last are the same amount, the number of closings this year could catch up or even surpass 2010.   
 

Houstons’ average sales price is up 3% year-to-date; yet median sales price [where half the homes sell above and half sell below the midpoint] is down 1%. Almost any city in the nation would envy Houston’s ability to retain home values and while this quarter is the first to experience a 1% decline in median since 2008 – it’s not a trend likely to continue.  In one months’ time, from February to March, there has been a 2% decline in active listings.  This indicates no additional inventory has crept into the market that would inordinately hold housing values down.

 

Houston Home Values Are Likely to Hold

 

 

Houston Real Estate Information Services [MLS]

March YTD 2011 vs. March YTD 2010

 

Measurement

 

Amount

% change

from 2010

# of sales

10,675

-1%

Dollar volume

$2,243,832,731

3%

Average sales price

$210,195

3%

Median sales price

$147,660

-1%

Contracts written

8,556

0%

# of active listings

31,670

10%

April, a great sales season month, will be a good indicator of whether or not more homes get absorbed at a faster rate.  It will be interesting to see which direction the median sales price moves from its current position.  Again, unrest in the Middle East and the resumption of Gulf oil drilling will likely have a great impact on Houston sales, as corporate relocations are in progress now.

 

The Price Class Spectrum Impact

 

The average sales price is higher than the median due to double-digit increases in sales in the high end.  Paradoxically, we see a 1% decline in median sales price because there has been double digit increases in sales in the first quarter in most price classes at the low end of the spectrum.  Homes priced $30,000-$79,999 have seen the largest increase in demand.  Example:

  • $30,000-$39,999 – sales increased 36%,
  • $40,000-$49,999-sales increased 20%,
  • $50,000-$59,999 – sales increased 35% and so on.   

High volume sales from the low end of the price class spectrum in comparison to last year, most assuredly will pull the median sales price down. 

At the high end of the price class spectrum, most notable of all price class sales increases is the

  • $700,000-$799,999 range which has experienced a 56% increase over last year. 
  • Homes priced $1 million and over are up 31% from 2010.
  • The third highest high-end demand increase [19%] has been in the $900,000-$999,000 range and

All sales through March year-to-date priced $500,000 and above represent only 6% of the total units sold in Houston, however their collective impact on average sales price make it appear as if there is home price appreciation in the Houston overall market. 

Median sales price tells the real story.  Median price is being pulled at both ends of the spectrum however, this year 28% of the single-family sales have occurred in homes priced below $100,000.  With double-digit increases in those price points, it is no wonder our median price shows a 1% decline.

 

What home price classes were the hottest selling in Houston YTD through 3/ 2011? 

Top Ten Selling Price Classes

Houston Single-Family Real Estate

March YTD 2011

Price Class

Sales Year to Date

Active Listings

Months of Inventory

1. $200,000-$249,999

944

3,347

7.9

2  $300,000-$399,999

805

2,830

8.7

3. $250,000-$299,999 

782

2,587

8.3

4. $120,000-$129,999

523

1,573

6.8

5. $110,000-$119,999

515

1,523

7.3

6. $70,000-$79,999

495

996

6.1

7. $80,000-$89,999

490

1,234

6.4

8. $130,000-$139,999

471

1,498

7.1

9. $100,000-$109,999

446

1,104

6.2

10$90,000-$99,999

442

1,466

8.0

 

The Houston overall market is so large and rarely reflects the same trends as a submarket area located within its boundaries.  Some areas are shining brightly while others are not as lustrous.  For a breakdown of activity by area with a map, click here.

 

To see the hottest selling geographical areas in Houston, click here.

 

To search for homes by price range, map and/or even foreclosures, click here.

Data provided by the Houston Association of Realtors® Multiple Listing Service, and The Real Estate Center for Texas A&M and written by Toni Nelson, Director of Strategic Initiatives for Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors®

 

 

 

 

 

 

 As you can see from the Top Ten Selling Price Classes in Houston for 2011, homes priced from $70,000-$399,000 represent the greatest amount of buyer demand. These price classes represent 55% of all sales that have occurred in Houston year-to-date.

 

 

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