April 9th, 2010

Houston first-quarter real estate sales volume up 13%

First-quarter real estate sales indicate Houston has pulled out of a negative sales position and displays the beginning of very positive trends. The latest market metrics correlate very closely with news from the Texas Workforce Commission that Houston-area employers added 10,300 jobs from January to February, an increase of 2,000 real job gains than is atypical for the season.  Employment is the single largest driver of home sales.

Last year in February 2009, Houston experienced a 24% decline in year-to-date sales over 2008.  Every month following February, sales declines began to decline and the year ended with 7% fewer home sales than 2008. 

  1. First Quarter 2010 sales are equal to those found in First Quarter 2009 however,
  2. Dollar volume sales are up by 13% for a total of $2,183,412,127. 
  3. The average sales price is up 13% at $204,191 and the median sales price is up 8% at $149,900. 
  4. The average price per square foot is up 10% and now stands at $87. 
  5. Homes on the market are up by 3% with 28,793 listings, certainly not a supply that would impact home values.  The best news of all is that
  6. Days-on-Market, the average number of days it takes to sell a Houston home is down by 16%. Days-on-Market are 81.

Previously, we mentioned the rise in upscale homes as a rationale for a rise in average and median price in the overall Houston market during the First Quarter.  These were attributable to only 23% of all sales in Houston.

What home price classes were the hottest selling in Houston through First Quarter?  

The following table indicates by price class the hottest selling price ranges in Houston in 2010:

Top Ten Selling Price Classes

Houston Single-Family Real Estate

First Quarter 2010

Price Class

Sales Year to Date

Active Listings

Months of Inventory

1. $200,000-$249,999

1,028

3,078

6.5

2  $250,000-$299,999

750

2,495

7.6

3. $300,000-$399,999

722

2,759

8.2

4. $120,000-$129,999

591

1,575

6.1

5. $130,000-$139,999

575

1,502

5.8

6. $110,000-$119,999

573

1,448

6.2

7. $90,000-$99,999

509

1,251

6.1

8. $150,000-$159,999

500

1,391

6.3

9. $140,000-$149,999

486

1,454

6.6

10$80,000-$89,999

476

984

5.4

 As you can see from the Top Ten Selling Price Classes in Houston for 2010, hot selling prices ranged from $80,000-$399,000. These price classes are expected to be hot in Houston at least through June 30th because of the time-contingent 2010 IRS Home Buyer Tax Credit.  Setting aside this temporary demand incentive, these price classes are also more aligned with historical price class demand in Houston.

These attributes will spark demand through June, but what about the rest of the year?  While no one has an accurate crystal ball, Dr. Barton Smith of the UH Center for Public Policy remarked,” A year ago, I thought we’d be dragging behind the parade but we’re just not doing that.”

 

The year 2009 was a bleak year for the economy and residential real estate and first-quarter statistics indicate that we are moving toward a healthier economy and a more robust residential real estate market. Hallelujah Houston!

To search for homes by price range, map and/or even foreclosures, go to www.GaryGreene.com.

 

Data provided by the Houston Association of Realtors® Multiple Listing Service, and The Real Estate Center for Texas A&M and written by Toni Nelson, Director of Strategic Initiatives for Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors®

 
 
 
 
 

 

 

 

 

At first blush, these statistics seem strange. With the same number of homes selling as in the first quarter 2009, how do average and median sales prices of homes go up in comparison to 2009? The answer is in the price classes of homes that have closed this year.  In March, with similar experiences in January and February, home sales priced $250,000 and higher have experienced double-digit increases over 2009.  Single-digit increases occurred in the following price classes:

  • $150,000-$159,999
  • $140,000-$149,999
  • $  90,000-$  99,999

 

With the above three price class exceptions, all price classes below $250,000 experienced single to double-digit price declines.

 

At least for First Quarter 2010, there has been a resurgence in higher end housing demand and a decline in price classes below $250,000, with the three exceptions so noted.

Most notable of all price classes is the $800,000-$899,999 range which has experienced an 85% increase over last year.  The second highest demand increase [48%] has been in the $400,000-$499,000 range and the third highest increase [46%] in demand is $500,000-$599,999.

All sales in March priced over $249,999 represented only 23% of the total MLS homes sold in Houston, however their collective impact on average sales price and median sales price make it appear that there is home price appreciation in the Houston overall market.  Houston is so large, it is like a mosaic.  Some areas are shining brightly while others are not as lustrous.  For a breakdown of activity by area with a map, click here.

Prudential Gary Greene, Realtors® believes the housing market will pick up steam during the Spring selling season for 3 reasons:

 

 

 

 

 

  1. The Home Buyers Tax Credit benefits both current homeowners as well as first-time home buyers.  To qualify, a binding written contract must be in place by April 30th and the home must close by June 30th.  To see if you qualify, click here.
  2. Interest rates are at an all-time low and when these two benefits coincide, the result is a flurry of buying activity that will culminate in June.
  3. It appears employment in Houston is on the rise or showing more resilience than most economists predicted.
Share and Enjoy:
  • Digg
  • Google
  • del.icio.us
  • Live
  • Sphinn
  • Facebook
  • LinkedIn
  • Mixx
  • blogmarks
  • BlogMemes
  • Blogosphere News
  • Blogsvine
  • blogtercimlap
  • description
  • Bumpzee
  • De.lirio.us
  • MySpace
  • Socialogs
  • Spurl
  • Wikio
  • Wikio IT
  • Yahoo! Buzz

Tags: , ,

 
 

4 Responses to
“Houston first-quarter real estate sales volume up 13%”

  1. A super approach to this you have got, whereas I do not accept everything that was mentioned I can see your case.

  2. I read your blog all the time and I just thought I’d say keep up the good work!

  3. Keira Lammey says:

    Hello can I use some of the content from this post if I provide a link back to your site?

  4. I enjoyed reading your blog and I wanted to tell you that I totally agree with you. It is hard to find people that think alike these days. Keep it up

Leave a Reply